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140 W Northshore Dr
D Composite 43.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

140 W Northshore Dr · Moses Lake, WA 98837
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 928 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1949 8,400 sqft lot $214/sqft · 13% below area Est $229k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready rambler on Northshore Drive! Conveniently located near the water and in the heart of town near restaurants, shopping & more. This 3 bed 1 bath home features hardwood floors, natural light and a functional layout. UPGRADES INCLUDE: New Mitsubishi Split System and Cement Plank Exterior Siding both installed in 2022. Bring your toys! Plenty of room for a boat or RV parking. The property boasts a fully fenced backyard and garage. Call to schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Near the water
  • Near shopping
  • Near restaurants

Tags

MOVE IN READYNEAR THE WATERHEART OF TOWNNEAR RESTAURANTSNEAR SHOPPINGNEW MITSUBISHI SPLIT SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing active; Living area reported as 928 square feet
  • Financial info: Offers accepted: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 covered spaces); Driveway
  • Security: Partially fenced; Security system
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Moses Lake); Sewer connected (City of Moses Lake); Power provided by Grant County PUD; Water heater located in bedroom
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Main-level entry; Built on lot
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Poured concrete foundation; Effective year built 1980
  • Exterior features: Partially fenced yard; Garden space; Outbuildings; Sprinkler system; High speed internet available; Curbs, paved streets, and sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (without eating space)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level) with bathtub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining room; Security system; Entry hall; Living room; Utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-591/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (4.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Moses Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#170 in WA, #4,228 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Moses Lake School District (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #198 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Knolls Vista Elementary (283 students, 80% FRL); Frontier Middle School (758 students, 72% FRL); Moses Lake High School (1,984 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 53% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 590 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 23% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $155k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $156,535 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,003
List price
$199,000
Delta
-13.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
614 W Loop Dr 0.39mi 3/1.0 962 (+4%) 2mo $265,000 $275 74
312 W Ridge Rd 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 938 (+1%) 14mo $235,000 $251 74
114 W Knolls Vista Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+12%) 3mo $190,000 $183 73
214 W Knolls Vista Dr 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,047 (+13%) 5mo $239,900 $229 71
207 W Loop Dr 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-7%) 9mo $255,000 $295 69
136 W Northshore Dr 0.01mi 2/1.0 (-1) 814 (-12%) 20mo $245,000 $301 58
403 W Loop Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 836 (-10%) 21mo $218,000 $261 56
513 W Meridian 0.42mi 3/1.0 962 (+4%) 23mo $247,000 $257 56
437 N Washington St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,003 (+8%) 23mo $294,000 $293 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-40,002
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-56,728
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98837

Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
590
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,565 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,913/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$-49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,628
Max offer price $190,300
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $63 -5% $7 +0% $-49 +5% $-106 +10% $-162
Rent -10% $-173 -5% $-111 +0% $-49 +5% $13 +10% $74
Rate -1.0pp $51 -0.5pp $1 base $-49 +0.5pp $-101 +1.0pp $-153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
615 S Alder St #02 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 742 $1,200 $1.62 45d 1 0.65mi
1133 N Grape Dr Moses Lake, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 859 $1,825 $2.12 45d 12 0.83mi
300 E 9th Ave Moses Lake, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,699 $1.69 45d 19 0.88mi
1050 S Division St Moses Lake, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $1,309 $1.94 45d 14 1.16mi
1206 W Columbia Ave Unit D Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 45d 1 1.17mi
1205 W Ivy Ave Unit 101 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 45d 1 1.18mi
1211 W Ivy Ave Unit 203 Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 1.19mi
931 E Hill Ave Moses Lake, WA 2.0 2.0 1108 $1,600 $1.44 45d 1 1.33mi
1104 S Grand Dr Moses Lake, WA 2.0 1.0 693 $1,200 $1.73 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $199,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-05-11
    status Active
  8. 2026-04-22
    listed $199,000 Active
  9. 2019-05-02
    soldstatus $155,000 Sold
  10. 2019-05-02
    soldstatus $155,000
  11. 2019-03-20
    status Pending
  12. 2018-11-05
    listed $162,000 Active
  13. 2012-01-05
    soldstatus $77,000 Sold
  14. 2011-11-22
    status Pending
  15. 2011-11-09
    status Pending Inspection
  16. 2011-10-26
    listed $77,000 Active
  17. 2004-04-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  18. 1991-08-26
    soldstatus $39,726
  19. 1988-03-16
    soldstatus $34,800
  20. 1980-09-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,913 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,950 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$38/yr (+$3/mo · 2.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,784
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$1,913
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,503
− Management
−$1,503
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$4,065
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$976
After-tax cash flow
$385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moses Lake School District
NCES district ID
5305220
Math proficiency
38% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$49,033
Composite
39.17/100
National rank
#8232
State rank
#198 of 291 in WA

Livability — Moses Lake

Score
75/100
State rank
#170
US rank
#4228

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moses Lake, WA
County
Grant County · 61,643 people
City population
49,455
Metro
Moses Lake, WA
Population (ZIP)
49,455
Household income
$74,586
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1064.0

Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,356 people
By 2030
102,107 · +2.8%
By 2040
108,318 · +9.0%
By 2050
114,712 · +15.5%
By 2075
131,376 · +32.2%
By 2100
146,163 · +47.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grant

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -384.29%
Current HPI
208.4574
Rent YoY
▼ -1.72%
Metro
Moses Lake, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+342.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2019-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) $155,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-20 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-05 Listed $162,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-05 Sold (MLS) $77,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-11-22 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-11-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-26 Listed $77,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 1991-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $39,726 Public Records
  • 1988-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $34,800 Public Records
  • 1980-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,913 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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