283 High St · Ceredo, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This cozy and affordable 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features an updated kitchen and remodeled bath, along with a newer HVAC system and newer roof for added peace of mind. A fenced backyard provides great space for pets, outdoor use, or gardening. Conveniently located in Ceredo with easy access to nearby amenities and Huntington, this home is a great option for buyers seeking an affordable, move-in-ready property.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Updated kitchen
- Remodeled bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#18 in WV, #2,195 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ceredo-Kenova Elementary (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #107 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 635 students, 0% FRL); Ceredo-Kenova Middle School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 262 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.25%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,728
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283 High St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $89 | 99 |
| 411 B St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (+4%) | 15mo | $166,000 | $149 | 61 |
| 1105 B St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $163 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $9,388
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $41,024
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25705
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,280 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $526/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $459 | -5% $430 | +0% $402 | +5% $374 | +10% $345 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $301 | -5% $351 | +0% $402 | +5% $453 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $452 | -0.5pp $427 | base $402 | +0.5pp $376 | +1.0pp $350 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-23$99,900 Active
-
2022-05-27soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $526 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $589 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$63/yr (+$5/mo · 12.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,363
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$526
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$811
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,014/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401500
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,283
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7297
- State rank
- #25 of 55 in WV
Livability — Ceredo
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #2195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ceredo, WV
- City population
- 1,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,668
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,267 people
- By 2030
- 36,578 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · -13.7%
- By 2050
- 29,671 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 22,901 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 17,421 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.08%
- Current HPI
- 171.7797
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+53.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $99,900 HBRMLS
- 2022-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+35.6%/yrLatest (2025): $526 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…