1533 N Gilmor St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming home featuring four levels of living space, 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an unfinished basement offering additional storage or future expansion opportunities. Situated on a desirable block, this property includes a spacious backyard that is perfect for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing outdoors. Conveniently located just minutes from the National Aquarium, Camden Yards, M & T Bank Stadium, and downtown Baltimore, you'll enjoy easy access to some of the city's most popular attractions. Commuters will appreciate the proximity to major highways, including I-95, I-295, and I-83, making travel throughout the region quick and convenient. This home is an
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Unfinished basement
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Stone construction; Permanent foundation; Assessor-reported year built
- Exterior features: Not located on tidal water; Above- and below-grade structures noted
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,110/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 2921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $63k; list at $110k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.17%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,336
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1024 N Carey St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,700 (-0%) | 22mo | $181,500 | $67 | 52 |
| 1930 Mcculloh St | 0.48mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,760 (+2%) | 12mo | $387,900 | $141 | 46 |
| 610 N Fulton Ave | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,688 (-1%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $28 | 44 |
| 2411 Madison Ave | 0.55mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,700 (-0%) | 20mo | $540,000 | $200 | 42 |
| 2550 Mcculloh St | 0.53mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,760 (+2%) | 21mo | $285,000 | $103 | 42 |
| 739 N Fulton Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 2,400 (-12%) | 13mo | $60,500 | $25 | 41 |
| 2920 Auchentoroly Ter | 0.71mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,677 (-1%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $120 | 41 |
| 1724 Linden Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,868 (+6%) | 12mo | $715,000 | $249 | 35 |
| 2116 Westwood Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,500 (-8%) | 23mo | $210,000 | $84 | 33 |
| 2240 Linden | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,110 (+15%) | 14mo | $456,000 | $147 | 23 |
| 931 N Bentalou St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 2,321 (-14%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $95 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $52,547
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 46.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.24×
- Total profit
- $161,367
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21217
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $980
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,042 | -5% $1,011 | +0% $980 | +5% $949 | +10% $917 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $813 | -5% $896 | +0% $980 | +5% $1,063 | +10% $1,146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,035 | -0.5pp $1,008 | base $980 | +0.5pp $951 | +1.0pp $922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1830 | $1,750 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1613 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2020 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2440 | $1,650 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2020 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2440 | $1,950 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1927 Druid Hill Ave #2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3312 | $2,350 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1929 McCulloh St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3293 | $2,595 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2534 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2861 | $3,300 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1725 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2195 | $2,100 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2511 Madison Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2700 | $2,700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1628 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1614 McCulloh St #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2885 | $2,400 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 549 Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,350 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2128 N Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2166 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1702 Eutaw Pl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,550 | $0.78 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1012 W Lanvale St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2008 | $1,925 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1826 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3132 | $1,650 | $0.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3132 | $1,400 | $0.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3132 | $1,400 | $0.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 914 Whitelock St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2880 | $2,250 | $0.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 805 Brooks Ln #2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2120 | $1,500 | $0.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 736 Watts St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2000 | $3,250 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2535 Brookfield Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2736 | $1,500 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1032 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1913 | $2,650 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1427 Bolton St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $3,600 | $2.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2302 Mount Royal Ter Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2351 | $3,000 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 147 W Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $3,250 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 39 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1844 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1020 Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2004 | $3,712 | $1.85 | 3d | 11 | 1.29mi |
| 1725 Hollins St #3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2796 | $1,195 | $0.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1725 Hollins St Unit 4 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2796 | $1,195 | $0.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2305 Wichita Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,300 | $0.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1328 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2312 | $3,600 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1138 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $1,795 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 922 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2364 | $2,300 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1214 N Charles St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1103 | $2,333 | $2.11 | 2d | 14 | 1.44mi |
| 804 Hollins St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,700 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2124 | $1,995 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-18$110,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $985 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$214/yr (+$18/mo · 27.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,025
- − Management
- −$2,025
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $10,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,792
- Household income
- $38,409
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2921.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.20%
- Current HPI
- 104.2102
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.63%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+73.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1990-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $63,420 Public Records
Property tax history
+32.1%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…