2006 Edwards Ave · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$36,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
Key facts
- 4,961 sq ft lot
- Listed 102 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $684 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($252 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.28%
- DSCR
- 4.57
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,500
- List price
- $36,500
- Delta
- -24.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 556 Kent St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (+1%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $142 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $51,497
- Equity at exit
- $20,191
- IRR
- 84.4%
- Equity multiple
- 12.57×
- Total profit
- $118,258
- Equity at exit
- $34,447
Cash invested: $10,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36617
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,148 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$191
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $203/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $684
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $704 | -5% $694 | +0% $684 | +5% $673 | +10% $663 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $593 | -5% $638 | +0% $684 | +5% $729 | +10% $774 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $702 | -0.5pp $693 | base $684 | +0.5pp $674 | +1.0pp $665 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,125
- Closing costs
- $1,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 Stanton Rd Unit D25 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $895 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 186 Stanton Rd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1263 | $2,062 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2853 Josephine St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $975 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2850 Edgewood St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,000 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 113 Randolph St Unit 1 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $958 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 708 Bond St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13status Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
-
2026-05-07status Pending 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
-
2026-04-14price $36,500 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
-
2026-03-12price $39,000 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
-
2026-02-09$45,000 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Come take a look at this property. Ready for renovations Member of owning entity is a licensed real estate agent in AL
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $203 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $203 · $17/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,045
- − Property taxes
- −$203
- − Insurance
- −$182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$1,062
- Taxable income
- $8,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,940
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,265/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- City population
- 205,729
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,952
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% White 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.78%
- Current HPI
- 128.8377
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-18.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-07 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $36,500 GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $39,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-02-09 Listed $45,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $203 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…