30 Sequoyah Ridge Rd · Cherokee Village, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bed 1 bath home just a quarter mile from lake sequoyah. Includes bonus room and a workshop that could be turned into bedrooms! Wood burning stove and also a back up propane wall heater.
Key facts
- Rec centers
- Two lots
- Incredible amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options may include VA loans, conventional loans, owner financing, or cash
- HOA & community: Community amenities include swimming pools, playground, clubhouse, party room, picnic area, marina, golf course, fitness/bike trail, and nearby airport
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Septic; Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Propane/butane gas; Cable TV; Antenna TV; Satellite TV; Private telephone; Satellite internet; Wireless internet
- Home design: Frame/wood exterior; Inside city limits
- Construction: Metal roof; Slab/crawl combination foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level lot; River/lake area; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (gas); Central cooling (electric)
- Interior features: Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric); Gas water heater; Ceiling fans; Gas log fireplace; Sheetrock walls/ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection (electric)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 5.7% in Cherokee Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#227 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Highland School District (town): math 43% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 238 in AR (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cherokee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 40%, grade D, #108 of 454 statewide, top 24%, 594 students, 100% FRL); Highland High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #62 of 292 statewide, top 21%, 526 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 688 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4 units permitted in Sharp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sharp County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 9829% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $139k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.95%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,620
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149 Hiawatha Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,114 (-13%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $108 | 66 |
| 29 W Lakeshore Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+1%) | 5mo | $186,200 | $143 | 65 |
| 46 Choctaw Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,185 (-8%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 170 E Lakeshore Dr | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-10%) | 2mo | $266,000 | $231 | 59 |
| 8 Warpath Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,360 (+6%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $29 | 58 |
| 42 Arrowhead Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,152 (-10%) | 2mo | $118,000 | $102 | 58 |
| 244 E Lakeshore Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,200 (-7%) | 3mo | $290,000 | $242 | 54 |
| 6 Arrowhead Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-8%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $47 | 50 |
| 72 Arrowhead Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-14%) | 9mo | $147,500 | $134 | 48 |
| 29 Algonquin | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+12%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $42 | 41 |
| 16 War Eagle Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,140 (-11%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $132 | 40 |
| 1 W Lakeshore Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+15%) | 6mo | $319,000 | $217 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $8,378
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $47,164
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72529
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 688
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $485
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $581 | -5% $533 | +0% $485 | +5% $437 | +10% $389 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $340 | -5% $412 | +0% $485 | +5% $557 | +10% $629 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $520 | base $485 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194 E Lakeshore Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 128 W Lakeshore Dr Cherokee Village, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16 Annette Rd Cherokee Village, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-01status Under Contract
-
2026-04-23historical Take Backups
-
2026-04-20historical $1,350
-
2026-03-26price $139,000
-
2026-03-05price $1,350
-
2026-02-09price $1,300
-
2025-12-03$1,400
-
2025-11-03status Back on Market
-
2025-09-29historical
-
2025-09-04$144,000 New Listing
-
2025-06-13soldstatus $60,000
-
2020-07-24soldstatus $45,000 Sold 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
2 bed 1 bath home just a quarter mile from lake sequoyah. Includes bonus room and a workshop that could be turned into bedrooms! Wood burning stove and also a back up propane wall heater.
-
2020-07-24soldstatus $45,000
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
2 bed 1 bath home just a quarter mile from lake sequoyah. Includes bonus room and a workshop that could be turned into bedrooms! Wood burning stove and also a back up propane wall heater.
-
2020-07-10status Under Contract 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
2 bed 1 bath home just a quarter mile from lake sequoyah. Includes bonus room and a workshop that could be turned into bedrooms! Wood burning stove and also a back up propane wall heater.
-
2020-07-06$52,900 New Listing 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
2 bed 1 bath home just a quarter mile from lake sequoyah. Includes bonus room and a workshop that could be turned into bedrooms! Wood burning stove and also a back up propane wall heater.
-
2001-03-28soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,756
- − Management
- −$1,756
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $3,832
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$920
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507770
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,066
- Composite
- 33.63/100
- National rank
- #5400
- State rank
- #66 of 238 in AR
Livability — Cherokee Village
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #17211
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cherokee Village, AR
- City population
- 5,090
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,090
Population outlook (Sharp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,170 people
- By 2030
- 15,711 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 14,974 · -7.4%
- By 2050
- 14,420 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 13,235 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 11,492 · -28.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sharp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 17.7% · R 80.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.53%
- Current HPI
- 182.4438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-96.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Rental Removed $1,350 CARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $139,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $1,350 CARMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $1,300 CARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed for Rent $1,400 CARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-09-29 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $144,000 CARMLS
- 2025-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
- 2020-07-10 Pending — CARMLS
- 2020-07-06 Listed $52,900 CARMLS
- 2001-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $90 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…