7607 Peyraud Dr · Suncoast Estates, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$153,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Modular Home in Great Neighborhood- Located on Oversized Lot w/ Privacy Fence & Storage Shed - This Home Features a Large Family Room & Private Living Room - Dining Room off of Open Kitchen w/ Breakfast Bar - Split Bedroom Floor Plan - Master w/ Garden Tub & Shower & Much More!
Key facts
- Large kitchen
- Separate family room
- 8,319 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $78; Association covers management, recreation facilities, street lights, and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, billiards, basketball court, and RV/boat storage; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 3 covered spaces; Two parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water (assessment paid); Public sewer (assessment paid); Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; 1 story; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Faces west; Resale condition; Zoned MH-1
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Storage; Outbuilding; Community pool; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 113 x 74 x 74 x 113; East exposure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Icemaker
- Bedrooms: Den; Family room; Great room
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Bathtub; Separate shower; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedrooms; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Dryer hookup inside; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $153k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute D, schools F, amenities F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.08%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,751
- Equity at exit
- $22,813
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $19,964
- Equity at exit
- $13,229
Cash invested: $42,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$802
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$78
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,250
- Closing costs
- $4,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7622 Peyraud Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2500 Gail Helen Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 15010 Caspian Tern Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15020 Caspian Tern Ct Unit 103 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15011 Caspian Tern Ct #101 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,725 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 15121 Piping Plover Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,675 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15121 Piping Plover Ct #101 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,675 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 15050 Caspian Tern Ct #103 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $1,520 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6391 Brant Bay Blvd #101 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,700 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6391 Brant Bay Blvd Unit 102 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $1,595 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 15070 Caspian Tern Ct Unit 105 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,750 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 410 Suwanee Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15100 Caspian Tern Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1365 | $1,595 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 15120 Caspian Tern Ct North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 15120 Caspian Tern Ct #105 North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5701 Longleaf Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,570 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16900 Slater Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,524 | $1.36 | 2d | 17 | 0.92mi |
| 10754 Marlberry Way North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10820 Firebush Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $1,895 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15250 Riverbend Blvd #204 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 16031 Enclaves Cove Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,499 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 16031 Enclaves Cove Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,499 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 10820 Marlberry Way North Fort Myers, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,350 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2376 Case Ln Unit A North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15080 Riverbend Blvd #802 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $78 · $936/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $153,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $153,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $153,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $153,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $153,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-03-07price $164,900
-
2026-01-06price $169,900
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2025-12-01$179,900 Active
-
2023-08-29historical
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2023-08-27$190,000 Active
-
2022-05-16soldstatus $145,000
-
2006-07-26soldstatus $146,000
-
2006-07-13soldstatus $146,000 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Spacious Modular Home in Great Neighborhood- Located on Oversized Lot w/ Privacy Fence & Storage Shed - This Home Features a Large Family Room & Private Living Room - Dining Room off of Open Kitchen w/ Breakfast Bar - Split Bedroom Floor Plan - Master w/ Garden Tub & Shower & Much More!
-
2006-06-02price $154,900 314-char remark
Show marketing remark (314 chars)
Spacious Modular Home in Great Neighborhood- Located on Oversized Lot w/ Privacy Fence & Storage Shed - This Home Features a Large Family Room & Private Living Room - Dining Room off of Open Kitchen w/ Breakfast Bar - Split Bedroom Floor Plan - Master w/ Garden Tub & Shower & Much More!
-
2001-01-18historical
-
2001-01-18historical
-
2000-01-18$10,500
-
2000-01-18$10,500
-
1985-05-01soldstatus $12,855
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,140 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,140 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,570
- − Property taxes
- −$2,140
- − Insurance
- −$765
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − HOA
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$4,451
- Taxable income
- $1,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$383
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Suncoast Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #9351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suncoast Estates, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1182.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $164,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $169,900 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $179,900 FORTMLS
- 2023-08-29 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2023-08-27 Listed $190,000 FORTMLS
- 2022-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-13 Sold (MLS) $146,000 FORTMLS
- 2006-06-02 Price Changed $154,900 FORTMLS
- 2001-01-18 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2001-01-18 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2000-01-18 Listed $10,500 FORTMLS
- 2000-01-18 Listed $10,500 FORTMLS
- 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,855 Public Records
Property tax history
+21.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,140 · -17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…