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39 Keystone Rd
D+ Composite 49.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,000

39 Keystone Rd · Lorane, PA 19606
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 36 Days on market
Built 2006 $91/sqft · 20% above area Est $110k · 20% over $680/mo HOA · 32% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

Key facts

  • Built 2006
  • Listed 36 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#428 in PA, #3,912 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Exeter Township SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #141 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,040 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.18%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$110,280
List price
$132,000
Delta
19.69%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,821
Equity at exit
$19,682
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,326
Equity at exit
$11,413

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19606

Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,137 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,216/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$680
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,935
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1251 Buddies Pl Birdsboro, PA 3.0 2.0 1040 $2,400 $2.31 12d 1 0.96mi
97 Wessex Ct Unit 97 Reading, PA 3.0 3.0 1473 $2,200 $1.49 43d 1 1.19mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$680 · $8,160/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 1314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1314 chars)

    Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

  2. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Under Contract 1314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1314 chars)

    Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

  3. 2026-04-08
    status Active 1314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1314 chars)

    Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

  4. 2025-11-16
    historical 1314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1314 chars)

    Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

  5. 2025-11-16
    historical $132,000 1314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1314 chars)

    Previously listed briefly and withdrawn due to personal reasons. Now back on the market—don’t miss this opportunity! Welcome to 39 Keystone Road! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home features an inviting open-concept layout filled with excellent natural light. The spacious living room includes surround-sound speaker hookups, along with designer shades and draperies in both the living and dining rooms—all included for your convenience. Each bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, providing exceptional storage throughout the home. Enjoy quiet mornings on the front porch or entertain guests on the large rear deck. A 10x12 shed adds valuable outdoor storage. Occupied by one person and pet-free, this home has been gently lived in and thoughtfully cared for. Step outside and experience the peaceful surroundings of the Keystone community. This charming property provides the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, just moments from major retailers such as Walmart, Target, Redner’s, and Wawa. Dining options like Taco Bell and Dairy Queen are right down the road, and with Route 422 at your doorstep, commuting is quick and effortless. Don’t miss your chance to make this wonderful home your own. Schedule your showing today—this one won’t last!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,216 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,651 · $138/mo
Expected delta
+$435/yr (+$36/mo · 35.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,641
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$1,216
− Insurance
−$660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,051
− Management
−$2,051
− HOA
−$8,160
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable income
$268
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$64
After-tax cash flow
$1,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Exeter Township SD
NCES district ID
4209480
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$71,744
Composite
45.21/100
National rank
#2669
State rank
#141 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lorane

Score
75/100
State rank
#428
US rank
#3912

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lorane, PA
County
Berks County · 195,629 people
Metro
Reading, PA
Population (ZIP)
35,853
Household income
$85,557
Rent vs Own
20.4% rent · 79.6% own
Severe rent burden
619.0

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -211.56%
Current HPI
283.6138
Rent YoY
Metro
Reading, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Coming Soon $132,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,216 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…