🌊 Lakefront
14000 Lake View Dr · La Mirada, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +8.3/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to one of the most sought-after lakefront locations in the beautiful Lake Park La Mirada community! Just reduced to 280,000! This stunning triple-wide manufactured home offers breathtaking lake views from the moment you enter, with serene water vistas visible from the entryway, living room, and dining area—truly a must-see! Boasting nearly 1,700 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly blends comfort and elegance. The bright, open kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious family room and leads directly to the lakeside porch—ideal for dining al fresco, entertaining, or simply relaxing while soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Lake Park is a meticulously maintained 55+ community, centered around a tranquil lake with a charming fountain and scenic walking path. Residents enjoy top-tier amenities including a lakefront clubhouse, pool, jacuzzi, gym, billiards room, banquet facilities, card room, and more. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping centers, restaurants, and Candlewood Country Club, this home offers the perfect balance of serene lakeside living and urban convenience. Don’t miss your chance to experience lakefront living at its finest—welcome home!
Key facts
- Lakeside porch
- Top-tier amenities
- Lakefront location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $819 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.4% in La Mirada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#149 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A, schools B; Watch: health & safety D, cost of living F.
- Norwalk-La Mirada Unified (suburban): math 28% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #177 of 517 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.01%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,000
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -1.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14041 Lake Side Dr #130 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,632 (-1%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $181 | 94 |
| 14020 Lake Glen Dr #45 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,638 (-1%) | 9mo | $245,000 | $150 | 84 |
| 14024 Crest Lake Dr #83 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+2%) | 4mo | $377,500 | $225 | 84 |
| 14054 Lake Side Dr #106 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (+4%) | 4mo | $390,000 | $227 | 80 |
| 14046 Lake Crest Dr #76 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (-7%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $117 | 75 |
| 12921 Lake Frst #35 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $181 | 62 |
| 14006 Lake Glen Dr #48 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 15mo | $330,000 | $229 | 60 |
| 14010 Lake Glen Dr #47 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-13%) | 16mo | $359,500 | $250 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $19,308
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $131,521
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90638
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $819
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,006 | -5% $913 | +0% $819 | +5% $726 | +10% $633 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $551 | -5% $685 | +0% $819 | +5% $954 | +10% $1,088 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $955 | -0.5pp $888 | base $819 | +0.5pp $749 | +1.0pp $678 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13857 Leffingwell Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,990 | $2.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 12202 Colima Rd Whittier, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $4,000 | $3.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13987 Coteau Dr #10 Whittier, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $3,250 | $2.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 14130 Bay St La Mirada, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1460 | $3,950 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 14022 Bay St Santa Fe Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1530 | $4,100 | $2.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14515 Leffingwell Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,495 | $2.38 | 2d | 6 | 0.86mi |
| 14055 Honeysuckle Ln Unit 1/2 Whittier, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 12123 Laurel Ave Whittier, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $4,200 | $3.39 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 11622 Carmenita Rd Whittier, CA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1049 | $2,935 | $2.80 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14820 Ragan Dr La Mirada, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $3,600 | $2.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11920 Laurel Ave Unit A Whittier, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,500 | $2.92 | 2d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $270,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $270,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $280,000 1271-char remark
Show marketing remark (1271 chars)
Welcome to one of the most sought-after lakefront locations in the beautiful Lake Park La Mirada community! Just reduced to 280,000! This stunning triple-wide manufactured home offers breathtaking lake views from the moment you enter, with serene water vistas visible from the entryway, living room, and dining area—truly a must-see! Boasting nearly 1,700 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly blends comfort and elegance. The bright, open kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious family room and leads directly to the lakeside porch—ideal for dining al fresco, entertaining, or simply relaxing while soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Lake Park is a meticulously maintained 55+ community, centered around a tranquil lake with a charming fountain and scenic walking path. Residents enjoy top-tier amenities including a lakefront clubhouse, pool, jacuzzi, gym, billiards room, banquet facilities, card room, and more. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping centers, restaurants, and Candlewood Country Club, this home offers the perfect balance of serene lakeside living and urban convenience. Don’t miss your chance to experience lakefront living at its finest—welcome home!
-
2026-03-25price $315,000 1271-char remark
Show marketing remark (1271 chars)
Welcome to one of the most sought-after lakefront locations in the beautiful Lake Park La Mirada community! Just reduced to 280,000! This stunning triple-wide manufactured home offers breathtaking lake views from the moment you enter, with serene water vistas visible from the entryway, living room, and dining area—truly a must-see! Boasting nearly 1,700 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly blends comfort and elegance. The bright, open kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious family room and leads directly to the lakeside porch—ideal for dining al fresco, entertaining, or simply relaxing while soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Lake Park is a meticulously maintained 55+ community, centered around a tranquil lake with a charming fountain and scenic walking path. Residents enjoy top-tier amenities including a lakefront clubhouse, pool, jacuzzi, gym, billiards room, banquet facilities, card room, and more. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping centers, restaurants, and Candlewood Country Club, this home offers the perfect balance of serene lakeside living and urban convenience. Don’t miss your chance to experience lakefront living at its finest—welcome home!
-
2025-11-07price $339,000 1271-char remark
Show marketing remark (1271 chars)
Welcome to one of the most sought-after lakefront locations in the beautiful Lake Park La Mirada community! Just reduced to 280,000! This stunning triple-wide manufactured home offers breathtaking lake views from the moment you enter, with serene water vistas visible from the entryway, living room, and dining area—truly a must-see! Boasting nearly 1,700 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly blends comfort and elegance. The bright, open kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious family room and leads directly to the lakeside porch—ideal for dining al fresco, entertaining, or simply relaxing while soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Lake Park is a meticulously maintained 55+ community, centered around a tranquil lake with a charming fountain and scenic walking path. Residents enjoy top-tier amenities including a lakefront clubhouse, pool, jacuzzi, gym, billiards room, banquet facilities, card room, and more. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping centers, restaurants, and Candlewood Country Club, this home offers the perfect balance of serene lakeside living and urban convenience. Don’t miss your chance to experience lakefront living at its finest—welcome home!
-
2025-08-11$359,000 Active 1271-char remark
Show marketing remark (1271 chars)
Welcome to one of the most sought-after lakefront locations in the beautiful Lake Park La Mirada community! Just reduced to 280,000! This stunning triple-wide manufactured home offers breathtaking lake views from the moment you enter, with serene water vistas visible from the entryway, living room, and dining area—truly a must-see! Boasting nearly 1,700 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly blends comfort and elegance. The bright, open kitchen flows seamlessly into the spacious family room and leads directly to the lakeside porch—ideal for dining al fresco, entertaining, or simply relaxing while soaking in the peaceful surroundings. Lake Park is a meticulously maintained 55+ community, centered around a tranquil lake with a charming fountain and scenic walking path. Residents enjoy top-tier amenities including a lakefront clubhouse, pool, jacuzzi, gym, billiards room, banquet facilities, card room, and more. Conveniently located near major freeways, shopping centers, restaurants, and Candlewood Country Club, this home offers the perfect balance of serene lakeside living and urban convenience. Don’t miss your chance to experience lakefront living at its finest—welcome home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,789
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$4,050
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,263
- − Management
- −$3,263
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable income
- $5,884
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,420/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This home is in good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC and mechanical systems appear to be in good condition. The home has a good curb appeal and is located in a desirable area with lake views. The home is move-in ready and would benefit from some cosmetic updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
- Both Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental.
- Both Update the kitchen cabinets — Updating the kitchen cabinets can modernize the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and increase its value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Update the kitchen cabinets — Updating the kitchen cabinets can modernize the home and make it more appealing to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwalk-La Mirada Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627690
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,950
- Composite
- 39.62/100
- National rank
- #3919
- State rank
- #177 of 517 in CA
Livability — La Mirada
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #5020
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Mirada, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 45,933
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,933
- Household income
- $109,649
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 814.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 26% Asian 23% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 56% English-only · Spanish 25% Korean 10% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -892.51%
- Current HPI
- 370.4661
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-22.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $280,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $315,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $339,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-11 Listed $359,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…