5947 Summit Pl · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful 2 bed, 1.5 bath home with partially finished basement. Main level has Kitchen, Dining Room, Living Room & full bathroom and 2 large bedrooms. Fantastic hardwood flooring and ornate interior finishes. Basement is partially finished with 2 non-conforming bedrooms, large recreation room, laundry room & half bathroom. Home is in a great area close to local services. This is a must See Home! An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass.
Key facts
- 3,301 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 106 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $48k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $331 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.85%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,791
- List price
- $47,900
- Delta
- -60.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5972 Tara Ln | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (-2%) | 6mo | $98,500 | $95 | 79 |
| 1545 Sells Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,075 (+2%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 5916 Alpha Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-11%) | 3mo | $74,900 | $80 | 70 |
| 5709 Goodfellow Blvd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,020 (-3%) | 4mo | $19,900 | $20 | 68 |
| 5741 Floy Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+4%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $59 | 67 |
| 5712 Floy Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (-8%) | 1mo | $62,000 | $64 | 63 |
| 8554 Drury Ln | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,196 (+13%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $134 | 63 |
| 1719 Veronica Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (-7%) | 2mo | $94,500 | $96 | 63 |
| 2026 Mclaran Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (-3%) | 1mo | $89,500 | $87 | 61 |
| 5519 Partridge Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 992 (-6%) | 3mo | $12,500 | $13 | 56 |
| 1934 Damato Ct | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-15%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $28 | 44 |
| 8926 Hillview Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-13%) | 3mo | $38,700 | $42 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $29,864
- Equity at exit
- $7,142
- IRR
- 56.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $74,466
- Equity at exit
- $4,142
Cash invested: $13,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63147
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$251
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $461/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $591
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $618 | -5% $604 | +0% $591 | +5% $577 | +10% $564 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $501 | -5% $546 | +0% $591 | +5% $636 | +10% $681 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $615 | -0.5pp $603 | base $591 | +0.5pp $578 | +1.0pp $566 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,975
- Closing costs
- $1,437
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8828 Riverview Blvd Apt 2S St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,543 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5515 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5638 Helen Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,299 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5936 Theodore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2056 Coleridge Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $950 | $1.23 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5361 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,420 | $1.58 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $896 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $750 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed, 1.5 bath home with partially finished basement. Main level has Kitchen, Dining Room, Living Room & full bathroom and 2 large bedrooms. Fantastic hardwood flooring and ornate interior finishes. Basement is partially finished with 2 non-conforming bedrooms, large recreation room, laundry room & half bathroom. Home is in a great area close to local services. This is a must See Home! An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass.
-
2026-04-21price $47,900 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed, 1.5 bath home with partially finished basement. Main level has Kitchen, Dining Room, Living Room & full bathroom and 2 large bedrooms. Fantastic hardwood flooring and ornate interior finishes. Basement is partially finished with 2 non-conforming bedrooms, large recreation room, laundry room & half bathroom. Home is in a great area close to local services. This is a must See Home! An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass.
-
2026-03-23price $59,900 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed, 1.5 bath home with partially finished basement. Main level has Kitchen, Dining Room, Living Room & full bathroom and 2 large bedrooms. Fantastic hardwood flooring and ornate interior finishes. Basement is partially finished with 2 non-conforming bedrooms, large recreation room, laundry room & half bathroom. Home is in a great area close to local services. This is a must See Home! An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass.
-
2026-01-21$69,900 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Wonderful 2 bed, 1.5 bath home with partially finished basement. Main level has Kitchen, Dining Room, Living Room & full bathroom and 2 large bedrooms. Fantastic hardwood flooring and ornate interior finishes. Basement is partially finished with 2 non-conforming bedrooms, large recreation room, laundry room & half bathroom. Home is in a great area close to local services. This is a must See Home! An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass.
-
2004-01-13soldstatus $72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $461 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4/yr ($0/mo · 0.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,683
- − Property taxes
- −$461
- − Insurance
- −$240
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$1,393
- Taxable income
- $6,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,610
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,173
- Household income
- $41,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 418.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.51%
- Current HPI
- 84.224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-34.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $47,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-21 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $461 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…