220 Park Ave Unit 21U · Hammonton, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- C
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $591 – $1,051
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Park Ave Hammonton Condo-2nd floor 2 bed 1 bath. large living room and dining area. 2 large bedrooms. updated bathroom. Large deck area . reserved parking spaces. Walk to Hammonton lake park. washer dryer.
Key facts
- Large deck area
- Dining area
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($171/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Hammonton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#205 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Hammonton School District (town): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #306 of 472 in NJ (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Warren E. Sooy Jr. Elementary School (math 27% / reading 39%, grade F, #650 of 1,303 statewide, top 50%, 755 students, 44% FRL); Hammonton Middle School (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #246 of 431 statewide, top 59%, 842 students, 38% FRL); Hammonton High School (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 1,357 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.31%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,350
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-25,584
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08037
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,982 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$170
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $14
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $152 | -5% $83 | +0% $14 | +5% $-55 | +10% $-124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-64 | +0% $14 | +5% $93 | +10% $171 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $65 | base $14 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 748 Bellevue Ave Hammonton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 400 N Packard St Unit A Hammonton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 54 Michael Rd Hammonton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $2,495 | $2.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $170 · $2,040/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-03-23$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone C · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,783
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,903
- − Management
- −$1,903
- − HOA
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$3,073
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home is in fair condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. Painting the exterior siding, re-carpeting the flooring, and painting the interior walls would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor broken window — A broken window is visible on the balcony.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and make the home look more attractive to potential buyers.
- Rental Re-carpeting the flooring — Re-carpeting the flooring can make the home more appealing to renters and improve the overall living experience.
- Both Painting the interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more attractive to both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| broken window · A broken window is visible on the balcony. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 1 items | $500–3,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and make the home look more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Re-carpeting the flooring — Re-carpeting the flooring can make the home more appealing to renters and improve the overall living experience. ↑
- Both Painting the interior walls — Painting the interior walls can improve the overall appearance of the home and make it more attractive to both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hammonton School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406570
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,087
- Composite
- 30.09/100
- National rank
- #6341
- State rank
- #306 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Hammonton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #205
- US rank
- #5755
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hammonton, NJ
- City population
- 23,385
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,385
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.42%
- Current HPI
- 305.1238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…