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200 Boxwood Cir
D+ Composite 49.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

200 Boxwood Cir · Birmingham, AL 35215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1956 0.44 ac lot $87/sqft · 8% above area Est $107k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on a desirable corner lot in the Roebuck area of Birmingham! This charming property perfectly blends modern updates with timeless appeal, offering both comfort and convenience for today’s homeowner. Situated on a prominent corner lot, this home offers added privacy and curb appeal, along with ample outdoor space for relaxing or hosting gatherings. The basement garage provides secure parking, additional storage, or even the potential for a workshop or flex space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this Roebuck gem offers the perfect balance of suburban comfort and city accessibility. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a beautifully updated home in one of Birmingham’s established neighborhoods!

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.12%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,685
List price
$114,900
Delta
7.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 Boxwood Cir 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,252 (-5%) 4mo $70,000 $56 88
216 Westwood Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,384 (+5%) 0mo $78,500 $57 85
240 Mccormick Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,262 (-4%) 6mo $141,000 $112 77
321 Glynn Dr 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,401 (+6%) 1mo $140,000 $100 71
120 Roebuck Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,247 (-5%) 8mo $105,000 $84 69
321 Joan Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,294 (-2%) 2mo $121,000 $94 68
9809 Maple Ln 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,192 (-9%) 3mo $130,000 $109 64
328 Pat Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,244 (-6%) 1mo $93,500 $75 61
252 Westwood Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,124 (-15%) 6mo $93,000 $83 58
932 Charles Ct 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,430 (+9%) 5mo $140,000 $98 50
405 Sunbrook Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-15%) 2mo $148,000 $132 48
101 95th St N 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,506 (+14%) 5mo $82,000 $54 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-6,379
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$10,412
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
334
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,807/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,014
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $224 +0% $191 +5% $158 +10% $126
Rent -10% $92 -5% $141 +0% $191 +5% $241 +10% $290
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $220 base $191 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9844 Greenlee Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1046 $950 $0.91 44d 1 0.13mi
221 Lawson Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1102 $1,325 $1.20 24d 1 0.15mi
204 McCormick Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 880 $980 $1.11 4d 1 0.18mi
252 Westwood Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1124 $1,400 $1.25 2d 1 0.22mi
209 Tucker Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,100 $1.05 44d 1 0.28mi
252 Meadowdale Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 920 $995 $1.08 44d 1 0.30mi
316 Pine St Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,100 $0.89 44d 1 0.31mi
201 Rose Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 972 $1,100 $1.13 17d 1 0.43mi
921 Charles Ct Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1529 $1,450 $0.95 44d 1 0.47mi
957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,195 $0.88 4d 1 0.47mi
426 Buckingham Cir Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,013 $0.94 44d 1 0.49mi
216 Sanford Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1134 $1,200 $1.06 44d 1 0.59mi
208 Sam Pate Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 988 $1,385 $1.40 2d 1 0.63mi
529 Robison Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 960 $960 $1.00 22d 1 0.64mi
945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1227 $1,125 $0.92 4d 1 0.66mi
932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,175 $0.98 20d 1 0.69mi
417 Price Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1584 $1,395 $0.88 24d 1 0.72mi
848 Old Trail Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 930 $925 $0.99 24d 1 0.74mi
832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1228 $1,225 $1.00 24d 1 0.78mi
912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1178 $1,100 $0.93 44d 1 0.80mi
818 Sunset Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,000 $1.01 44d 1 0.82mi
241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1242 $1,495 $1.20 4d 1 0.84mi
940 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1149 $1,300 $1.13 44d 1 0.84mi
929 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1649 $1,200 $0.73 12d 1 0.86mi
603 Camp Ct Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 44d 1 0.92mi
46 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1178 $1,450 $1.23 44d 1 1.03mi
40 Sunscape Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1283 $1,555 $1.21 2d 1 1.06mi
217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,200 $0.99 15d 1 1.07mi
726 Orchard Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,095 $0.98 44d 1 1.09mi
9228 Brookhurst Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1146 $999 $0.87 44d 1 1.14mi
1128 Lay Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1700 $1,410 $0.83 12d 1 1.15mi
8917 Roebuck Blvd Apt 11 Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 880 $725 $0.82 17d 1 1.16mi
1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1414 $1,600 $1.13 12d 1 1.17mi
520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1053 $1,100 $1.04 4d 1 1.19mi
1177 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1636 $1,100 $0.67 44d 1 1.23mi
736 Gene Reed Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1353 $1,220 $0.90 44d 1 1.28mi
433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,255 $1.08 17d 1 1.34mi
600 Sundale Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 950 $800 $0.84 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $114,900 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $114,900 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on a desirable corner lot in the Roebuck area of Birmingham! This charming property perfectly blends modern updates with timeless appeal, offering both comfort and convenience for today’s homeowner. Situated on a prominent corner lot, this home offers added privacy and curb appeal, along with ample outdoor space for relaxing or hosting gatherings. The basement garage provides secure parking, additional storage, or even the potential for a workshop or flex space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this Roebuck gem offers the perfect balance of suburban comfort and city accessibility. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a beautifully updated home in one of Birmingham’s established neighborhoods!

  15. 2026-04-15
    listed $119,000 Active 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on a desirable corner lot in the Roebuck area of Birmingham! This charming property perfectly blends modern updates with timeless appeal, offering both comfort and convenience for today’s homeowner. Situated on a prominent corner lot, this home offers added privacy and curb appeal, along with ample outdoor space for relaxing or hosting gatherings. The basement garage provides secure parking, additional storage, or even the potential for a workshop or flex space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this Roebuck gem offers the perfect balance of suburban comfort and city accessibility. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a beautifully updated home in one of Birmingham’s established neighborhoods!

  16. 2026-04-09
    historical $119,000 817-char remark
    Show marketing remark (817 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on a desirable corner lot in the Roebuck area of Birmingham! This charming property perfectly blends modern updates with timeless appeal, offering both comfort and convenience for today’s homeowner. Situated on a prominent corner lot, this home offers added privacy and curb appeal, along with ample outdoor space for relaxing or hosting gatherings. The basement garage provides secure parking, additional storage, or even the potential for a workshop or flex space. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, this Roebuck gem offers the perfect balance of suburban comfort and city accessibility. Don’t miss your opportunity to own a beautifully updated home in one of Birmingham’s established neighborhoods!

  17. 2025-04-15
    price $171,999
  18. 2024-04-24
    soldstatus $80,000
  19. 2024-04-10
    soldstatus $73,000
  20. 2024-04-09
    soldstatus $73,000 Sold
  21. 2024-04-08
    historical Contingent
  22. 2024-02-13
    price $100,000
  23. 2024-02-12
    status Active
  24. 2024-02-02
    status Pending
  25. 2024-01-13
    price $105,000
  26. 2023-12-06
    listed $109,000 Active
  27. 2016-11-02
    soldstatus $40,000
  28. 2016-09-15
    soldstatus $40,000
  29. 2004-05-11
    soldstatus $65,000
  30. 1993-02-17
    soldstatus $48,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,807 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,807 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,068
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,807
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,205
− Management
−$1,205
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable income
$497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$119
After-tax cash flow
$2,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
43,903
Household income
$52,793
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
1729.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.97%
Current HPI
215.0607
Rent YoY
▲ 3.04%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.5% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $119,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-04-15 Price Changed $171,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $73,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-04-08 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-02-13 Price Changed $100,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-02-12 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-02-02 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-01-13 Price Changed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-12-06 Listed $109,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2016-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1993-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $48,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,807 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…