407 E Grove St · Champaign, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Such a cute 2 bedroom/1 bathroom ready for an owner user or an investor! Great opportunity either way you go. According to the city of Champaign, you can add an 800sqft ADU to the property without a public process involved. You can add on to the existing home or create a detached 800sqft home with no additional zoning approval. Some of the updates are a newer roof, updated electrical panel, central heat and a/c and the sewer line was replaced to the back alley. Large lot with a lot of potential.
Key facts
- 4 parking spots
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Some photos are virtually staged
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Owned parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedrooms (2 total)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living room; Family room; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.8% in Champaign — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#44 in IL, #902 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Champaign CUSD 4 (urban): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #333 of 620 in IL (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,259/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 4754% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.34%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 E Columbia Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 792 | 8mo | $65,000 | $82 | 71 |
| 1101 N Market St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,407 | 3mo | $60,000 | $43 | 62 |
| 38 E Beardsley Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 883 | 2mo | $220,000 | $249 | 62 |
| 51 E Bradley Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,141 | 2mo | $75,000 | $66 | 57 |
| 917 N Harvey St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 741 | 8mo | $95,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 1204 N Goodwin Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,025 | 6mo | $85,000 | $83 | 51 |
| 1310 1/2 N Champaign St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 | 8mo | $70,000 | $66 | 49 |
| 1109 Fairview Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 | 4mo | $68,000 | $50 | 49 |
| 1404 N Hickory St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 | 2mo | $135,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 1411 N Champaign St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 832 | 5mo | $58,000 | $70 | 47 |
| 1212 N Walnut St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,744 | 7mo | $127,900 | $73 | 46 |
| 207 W Beardsley Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,994 | 6mo | $56,500 | $28 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $17,883
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $61,295
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61820
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,259 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $449
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1305 Eureka St Urbana, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,450 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 520 N Neil St Champaign, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,750 | $2.10 | 13d | 2 | 0.56mi |
| 510 E White St Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,620 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1113 W Hill St Urbana, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,050 | — | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 415 N Neil St Unit 2 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,650 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 507 E White St Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 476 | $1,300 | $2.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 301 N Neil St Champaign, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3475 | $5,000 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 17 E University Ave Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 417 | $1,410 | $3.38 | 43d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 17 E University Ave Unit 17-308 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 507 | $1,305 | $2.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 206 W Washington St Unit 4 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1202 N Lincoln Ave Urbana, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,395 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 907 N State St Apt 2 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $660 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 503 N State St Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $850 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 503 N State St Unit 2 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $825 | — | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 808 N Lincoln Ave Unit 2 Urbana, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1901 N Lincoln Ave Urbana, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 821 | $660 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 217 S Neil St Champaign, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,795 | $2.20 | 13d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 106 E Healey St Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $709 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 309 N Prairie St Unit 309 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1009 Stoughton St Urbana, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,600 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 412 W Church St Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,395 | $2.03 | 43d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 312 W Clark St Unit 312-C-101 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 484 | $870 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 312 W Clark St Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 484 | $870 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 313 Cottage Ct #9 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 403 W University Ave Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 686 | $1,475 | $2.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 402 W Clark St Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $875 | $1.96 | 13d | 2 | 0.97mi |
| 312 S State St Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | $825 | — | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 312 S State St Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $950 | — | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 309 S State St Unit 309-21 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $900 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 48 E John St Champaign, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 330 | $739 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 211 W Springfield Ave Unit 211-304 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 572 | $980 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 602 W Hill St Apt B Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | $980 | — | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 602 W Hill St Apt A Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | — | $1,300 | — | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 510 W University Ave Unit 1W Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $910 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 704 Stoughton St Urbana, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,035 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 901 S 1st St Champaign, IL | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | — | $2,418 | — | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 810 S Oak St Unit 13 Champaign, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 618 W Church St Apt 4 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $775 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 501 S Elm St Unit 1E Champaign, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,135 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 606 S Prairie St Apt 11 Champaign, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 500-char remark
-
2026-06-05$79,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,388
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,332/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Champaign CUSD 4
- NCES district ID
- 1709420
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,797
- Composite
- 21.66/100
- National rank
- #8281
- State rank
- #333 of 620 in IL
Livability — Champaign
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #902
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Champaign, IL
- County
- Champaign County · 182,148 people
- City population
- 96,852
- Metro
- Champaign-Urbana, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,599
- Household income
- $27,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4754.0
Population outlook (Champaign County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,848 people
- By 2030
- 231,416 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 244,321 · +9.1%
- By 2050
- 256,432 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 285,823 · +27.7%
- By 2100
- 296,406 · +32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Asian 18% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Chinese 7% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Champaign
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.1) · D 61.3% · R 37.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.1 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+18.4 2012: D+6.8 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.24%
- Current HPI
- 239.5835
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.62%
- Metro
- Champaign-Urbana, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…