1904 Piedmont Ct · Mascotte, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Is there a 3-bed home in Mascotte under $310K with a modern kitchen and a spacious lot and a New Roof? Yes: 1904 Piedmont Court offers updated style, low HOA, and USDA loan eligibility in the growing Lake Jackson Ridge community. This move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath single family home in Mascotte features 1,673 square feet of open living space on a generous 0.35-acre lot. Built in 2019, the home blends modern comfort with practical upgrades, including vinyl plank flooring throughout and a bright, updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances. The split floor plan offers privacy and function, with a spacious primary suite and two additional bedrooms ideal for guests or a home office. The k
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Open living space
- Modern kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Zoning: SFMF; Lot size about 0.35 acres (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Sentry Management; HOA required — $360 annually ($30/month); Street lights in community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (16 x 21); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces north
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by LGI Homes (Brickell model)
- Exterior features: Outdoor lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding doors; Mature landscaping; Paved driveway; Near public transit; In-county location
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Kitchen open to family room; Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (26.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#405 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mascotte Elementary School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 855 students, 62% FRL, charter); Gray Middle School (math 45% / reading 45%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 1,148 students, 47% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.48%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $368,060
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1948 Piedmont Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,673 (0%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $182 | 87 |
| 1725 Garden View St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,701 (+2%) | 7mo | $262,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 3324 Pink Oleander Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,541 (-8%) | 10mo | $338,350 | $220 | 61 |
| 1638 Geranium Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,541 (-8%) | 24mo | $343,980 | $223 | 53 |
| 1651 Geranium Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,541 (-8%) | 22mo | $348,000 | $226 | 53 |
| 1130 Union Ave | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,842 (+10%) | 18mo | $343,000 | $186 | 52 |
| 5040 Pine Needle Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (-14%) | 3mo | $272,900 | $190 | 50 |
| 4216 Worthington Pl | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,593 (-5%) | 24mo | $385,000 | $242 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $139,129
- Equity at exit
- $279,273
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.99×
- Total profit
- $433,417
- Equity at exit
- $602,262
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34753
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,304 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$504 /mo · $6,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$30
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $-468
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-293 | -5% $-381 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-556 | +10% $-644 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-650 | -5% $-559 | +0% $-468 | +5% $-377 | +10% $-286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-312 | -0.5pp $-390 | base $-468 | +0.5pp $-549 | +1.0pp $-630 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 Brenway Dr Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $2,280 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1665 Luft Ln Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,030 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1600 Mayaro Ct Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 614 Huey St Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,936 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 232 Boca Ciega Rd Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,095 | $1.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2425 Begonia St Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1983 | $2,350 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4025 E Cardinal Pines Dr Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 6d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 405 Eventide Ave Mascotte, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6337 Chorus Dr Groveland, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1772 | $2,250 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6612 Tempo Way Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6612 Tempo Way Mascotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1990 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2009 Sloans Outlook Dr Groveland, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,250 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $30 · $360/yr
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $310,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $310,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $315,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $315,000
-
2026-02-03price $320,000
-
2026-01-08$325,000 Active
-
2020-10-30soldstatus $717,400
-
2020-08-07soldstatus $13,986
-
2020-07-01historical
-
2020-05-27price $250,900
-
2020-04-02price $251,900
-
2020-01-04price $246,900
-
2019-07-03price $244,900
-
2019-05-31price $242,900
-
2019-05-17$241,900 Active
-
2018-12-13soldstatus $2,272,000
-
2008-03-25soldstatus $2,070,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,048 · $504/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,048 · $504/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$6,048
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,212
- − Management
- −$2,212
- − HOA
- −$360
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$11,113
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,667
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,953/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mascotte
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #7156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mascotte, FL
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 33,565
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,985
- Household income
- $83,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Black 20% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 32%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.01%
- Current HPI
- 281.96
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-84.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $320,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $717,400 Public Records
- 2020-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $13,986 Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-27 Price Changed $250,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-02 Price Changed $251,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-04 Price Changed $246,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-03 Price Changed $244,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-31 Price Changed $242,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-17 Listed $241,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $2,272,000 Public Records
- 2008-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $2,070,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+28.8%/yrLatest (2025): $6,048 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…