83 13th St · Troy, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HIGHEST & BEST DUE 4/29 at 5PM Located right across the street from RPI, this investment property offers significant potential. The home features two bedrooms, one bathroom, and a nicely sized yard. This property is being listed as individual but also packaged with 1509 15th St & 62 College Ave. MLS #202615778 Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Wood siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Exterior entry basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.85%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $53,216
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 59.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.47×
- Total profit
- $143,162
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12180
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,111/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $974
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,019 | -5% $997 | +0% $974 | +5% $952 | +10% $929 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $814 | -5% $894 | +0% $974 | +5% $1,054 | +10% $1,134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,014 | -0.5pp $994 | base $974 | +0.5pp $954 | +1.0pp $933 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Farm St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $695 | $0.63 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1520 6th Ave Troy, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1209 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 24d | 8 | 0.36mi |
| 124 Ferry St Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $2,799 | $3.44 | 14d | 10 | 0.39mi |
| 104 4th St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 151 4th St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2209 15th St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,595 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 189 Hill St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 995 | $1,900 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 17 State St Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1810 | $3,635 | $2.01 | 14d | 7 | 0.65mi |
| 114 Ida St Unit 1 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 77 Adams St Apt 17 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 857 | $1,811 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 77 Adams St Unit 8 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,509 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 132 1st St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $2,100 | $2.44 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 306 3rd St Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 356 3rd St Unit 2 Troy, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 209 13th St Watervliet, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 51 Tyler St #2 Troy, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,790 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 809 Broadway #2 Watervliet, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-24$79,000 Active
-
2004-01-05soldstatus $125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,111 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,111 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,111
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,941
- − Management
- −$1,941
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $11,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,676
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628950
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,143
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4318
- State rank
- #467 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- County
- Rensselaer County · 75,590 people
- City population
- 53,479
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,479
- Household income
- $75,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2698.0
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.53%
- Current HPI
- 285.0762
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-36.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $79,000 Global MLS
- 2004-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,111 · -27.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…