6059 Harney Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home is looking for a little TLC. Located just minutes from Highway 70 and would be a great add to your investment portfolio. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 3,123 sq ft lot
- Built 1928
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $761 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 42.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lexington Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 274 students, 99% FRL); Beaumont Cte High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 236 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $948 appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 130.52%
- DSCR
- 6.81
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $44,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5920 Lalite Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (0%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $29 | 78 |
| 6342 Lena Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 678 (-11%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $59 | 67 |
| 5411 Hamilton Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+3%) | 8mo | $87,000 | $111 | 66 |
| 5502 Helen Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+3%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 5626 Vivian Pl | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 704 (-7%) | 10mo | $20,000 | $28 | 62 |
| 5526 Jennings Station Rd | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+1%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 5239 Hamilton Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-5%) | 2mo | $8,750 | $12 | 62 |
| 5515 Hodiamont Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (+8%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $73 | 59 |
| 5811 Helen Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 806 (+6%) | 0mo | $29,900 | $37 | 50 |
| 5471 Janet Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-8%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 5037 Plover Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+8%) | 9mo | $8,000 | $10 | 48 |
| 5333 Helen Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 861 (+13%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $138 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.84×
- Total profit
- $54,902
- Equity at exit
- $12,370
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.56×
- Total profit
- $129,922
- Equity at exit
- $19,992
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,155 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $112/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $761
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5936 Theodore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5361 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,420 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $896 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $950 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7036 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 976 | $1,295 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7131 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,090 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4715 Thrush Ave Unit 24 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4935 Alcott Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $705 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $980 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7160 Beulah Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,059 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $750 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5225 Fletcher St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 918 | $1,295 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8828 Riverview Blvd Apt 2S St. Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2026-01-30$25,000 Active
-
2026-01-27historical $25,000
-
2025-07-15historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $112 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $242 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$131/yr (+$11/mo · 117.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$112
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $9,275
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,226
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listed $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-27 Coming Soon $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-7.0%/yrLatest (2024): $112 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…