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2008 Hilton Dr
B- Composite 65.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

2008 Hilton Dr · Laurel, MS 39440
3 bd · 0.5 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1968 0.33 ac lot $100/sqft · 254% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable move-in ready home located at 2008 Hilton Dr, Laurel, MS 39440! This well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a double carport and a spacious eat-in kitchen perfect for family meals and entertaining. Recent updates include a newer architectural shingle roof, energy-efficient Energy Star windows, and beautiful new flooring throughout. Enjoy the large fenced-in backyard & rear covered patio with plenty of space for kids, pets, or outdoor gatherings. Conveniently located with easy access to the interstate while tucked away on a quiet dead-end street. Ideal for first-time homebuyers, retirees, or anyone looking for an affordable home wi

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Double carport
  • Rear covered patio

Tags

DOUBLE CARPORTSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENNEW FLOORINGLARGE FENCED-IN BACKYARDREAR COVERED PATIOQUIET DEAD-END STREET

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete attached parking
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential property; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link and wood fencing; Composition roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
  • Laurel School District (town): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #101 of 130 in MS (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Laurel Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #133 of 179 statewide, top 76%, 555 students, 100% FRL); Laurel High School (math 11% / reading 12%, grade F, #166 of 197 statewide, top 85%, 708 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
20.00%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$36,724
List price
$129,900
Delta
253.72%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$17,543
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$64,906
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39440

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $964/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,033
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1728 General Pershing St Laurel, MS 3.0 2.0 1519 $1,800 $1.18 14d 1 0.37mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $129,900 Active 740-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$964 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,026 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$62/yr (+$5/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$964
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$5,475
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,314
After-tax cash flow
$5,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurel School District
NCES district ID
2802460
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$28,415
Composite
13.36/100
National rank
#9535
State rank
#101 of 130 in MS

Livability — Laurel

Score
66/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#11413

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laurel, MS
City population
20,111
Population (ZIP)
20,111

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,800 people
By 2030
68,773 · +-0.0%
By 2040
68,087 · -1.0%
By 2050
66,241 · -3.7%
By 2075
58,600 · -14.8%
By 2100
45,744 · -33.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.63%
Current HPI
126.2541
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) LBOR
  • 2026-05-19 Pending LBOR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $129,900 LBOR

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $964 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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