Duplex
2886 Shaffer Ave · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$226,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, a 1-bedroom and a 4-bedroom; each offering updated kitchens and baths, fresh interior paint, and new carpet in select areas. With separate gas and electric utilities for each unit, this property provides convenience and flexibility for both owners and tenants. Ideal for investment, house-hacking, or multigenerational living.
Key facts
- Updated baths
- New carpet
- Updated kitchens
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total buildings: 1
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Unit 1 currently rents for $950; Owner pays water; tenants pay heat
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Duplex; Three or more levels; Second floor area about 800 sq ft
- Construction: Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Vinyl, insulated windows; Shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.087 acres (3,790 sq ft)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom; Unit 2: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Separate furnaces and separate A/C for units; Separate gas/electric meters for units; Heat paid by tenants; water paid by owner
- Interior features: Partial basement (about 800 finished/usable sq ft); Inoperable fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $226k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $42/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roberts Academy (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,320 of 1,584 statewide, top 83%, 765 students, 0% FRL); Hartwell School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #593 of 654 statewide, top 91%, 447 students, 0% FRL); Walnut Hills High School (math 79% / reading 89%, grade A, #17 of 781 statewide, top 2%, 2,582 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools average 5% FRL vs 70% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,136/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1916% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.61%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,400
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2738 Powell Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,100 (+6%) | 6mo | $209,645 | $100 | 73 |
| 2902 Eggers Pl | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 2,164 (+9%) | 16mo | $272,000 | $126 | 57 |
| 3450 Boudinot Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,934 (-2%) | 19mo | $192,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 2955 Ferguson Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (+6%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $88 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-29,779
- Equity at exit
- $33,697
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,988
- Equity at exit
- $19,540
Cash invested: $63,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45211
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 17.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,136 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,185
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $149 | +0% $85 | +5% $21 | +10% $-43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-84 | -5% $0 | +0% $85 | +5% $169 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $142 | base $85 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-33 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,136 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,068 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,068 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,136 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,500
- Closing costs
- $6,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3245 Koenig Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,475 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2678 Montana Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,470 | $1.57 | 3d | 10 | 0.58mi |
| 3157 Sunshine Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1894 | $1,825 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2621 Gehrum Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2706 E Tower Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,520 | $1.60 | 3d | 61 | 1.06mi |
| 3350 Cavanaugh Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2309 | $1,995 | $0.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3283 Pickbury Dr Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3114 Roosevelt Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3414 Corrine Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,861 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3955 Trevor Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $226,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $226,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 499-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $226,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $226,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $226,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $226,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $226,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $226,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $226,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $226,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $226,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $226,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $226,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $226,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$226,000 Active
-
2026-02-12historical 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, a 1-bedroom and a 4-bedroom; each offering updated kitchens and baths, fresh interior paint, and new carpet in select areas. With separate gas and electric utilities for each unit, this property provides convenience and flexibility for both owners and tenants. Ideal for investment, house-hacking, or multigenerational living.
-
2026-01-05price $229,000 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, a 1-bedroom and a 4-bedroom; each offering updated kitchens and baths, fresh interior paint, and new carpet in select areas. With separate gas and electric utilities for each unit, this property provides convenience and flexibility for both owners and tenants. Ideal for investment, house-hacking, or multigenerational living.
-
2025-11-17$239,000 Active 383-char remark
Show marketing remark (383 chars)
This well-maintained duplex features two spacious units, a 1-bedroom and a 4-bedroom; each offering updated kitchens and baths, fresh interior paint, and new carpet in select areas. With separate gas and electric utilities for each unit, this property provides convenience and flexibility for both owners and tenants. Ideal for investment, house-hacking, or multigenerational living.
-
2024-10-07soldstatus $165,000
-
2024-10-01soldstatus $175,000 Sold 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Solid rental property with good rental history. Improvements in last 3 years include new baths and kitchens, central air and furnaces. Separate utilities. Long term tenants. Rents are well below market. Upper unit could add 2 more bedrooms. Upper unit will be vacant July 1, lower unit month to month.
-
2024-07-26historical Contingency Pending 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Solid rental property with good rental history. Improvements in last 3 years include new baths and kitchens, central air and furnaces. Separate utilities. Long term tenants. Rents are well below market. Upper unit could add 2 more bedrooms. Upper unit will be vacant July 1, lower unit month to month.
-
2024-06-26$175,000 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Solid rental property with good rental history. Improvements in last 3 years include new baths and kitchens, central air and furnaces. Separate utilities. Long term tenants. Rents are well below market. Upper unit could add 2 more bedrooms. Upper unit will be vacant July 1, lower unit month to month.
-
2017-08-09historical
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2017-03-09$99,900 Active
-
2014-04-30historical
-
2013-10-25$102,900
-
2012-09-30historical
-
2012-03-27$97,500
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-06-21$109,900
-
2007-02-26soldstatus $42,000
-
2007-01-25soldstatus $42,000
-
2006-06-12$45,900
-
1999-10-22soldstatus $86,500
-
1999-10-13soldstatus $86,500
-
1999-08-06$87,500
-
1995-08-09soldstatus $64,500
-
1989-08-04soldstatus $40,000
-
1977-04-01soldstatus $28,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,880 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,880 · $323/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,632
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,660
- − Property taxes
- −$3,880
- − Insurance
- −$1,130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,051
- − Management
- −$2,051
- − Depreciation
- −$6,575
- Taxable loss
- −$2,713
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,049
- Household income
- $53,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1916.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.15%
- Current HPI
- 215.0659
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+693.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $226,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $229,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-11-17 Listed $239,000 Cincy MLS
- 2024-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-01 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Cincy MLS
- 2024-07-26 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2024-06-26 Listed $175,000 Cincy MLS
- 2017-08-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2017-03-09 Listed $99,900 Cincy MLS
- 2014-04-30 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2013-10-25 Listed $102,900 Cincy MLS
- 2012-09-30 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2012-03-27 Listed $97,500 Cincy MLS
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-06-21 Listed $109,900 Cincy MLS
- 2007-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2007-01-25 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Cincy MLS
- 2006-06-12 Listed $45,900 Cincy MLS
- 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1999-10-13 Sold (MLS) $86,500 Cincy MLS
- 1999-08-06 Listed $87,500 Cincy MLS
- 1995-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1989-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1977-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,880 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…