674 Supima Dr · Socorro, TX 79927

$149,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 25 Days on market

Built 1986 10,000 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.8/10.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This beautifully updated 16x80 mobile home, situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot, offers both comfort and convenience. Fully connected to city utilities--water, electric, and sewer--this home has been refreshed from top to bottom. Enjoy the brand-new kitchen, complete with stainless steel appliances and a gas stove, perfect for cooking. The home boasts fresh flooring and new windows throughout, bringing in natural light and style. With plenty of outdoor space and move-in readiness, this gem is ready to welcome you home!

Key facts

• Fresh flooring
• Updated mobile home
• Gas stove

Tags

• UPDATED MOBILE HOME
• SPACIOUS QUARTER-ACRE LOT
• BRAND-NEW KITCHEN
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• GAS STOVE
• FRESH FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

• Home design: Manufactured home
• Construction: Aluminum siding; See remarks on roof and other construction details
• Exterior features: Back yard access; Fenced

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
• Interior features: See remarks; Double pane windows

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (2.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $146k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#830 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Socorro ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #624 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Robert R Rojas El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 516 students, 89% FRL); Salvador Sanchez Middle (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,583 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 615 students, 86% FRL); Socorro H S (math 13% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,484 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,656 (2.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.98% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.48%
• DSCR: 1.15
• GRM: 8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.93% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.01×
• Total profit: $387
• Equity at exit: $36,442

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.90×
• Total profit: $37,709
• Equity at exit: $38,673

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79927

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 5.3%
• Active inventory: 218
• Price-to-rent: 8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,457 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$781
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303

Max offer price $149,000

Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $224	-5% $172	+0% $121	+5% $69	+10% $18
Rent	-10% $6	-5% $63	+0% $121	+5% $179	+10% $236
Rate	-1.0pp $196	-0.5pp $159	base $121	+0.5pp $82	+1.0pp $43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,250
• Closing costs: $4,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
780 Clems Rd Socorro, TX	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	963	$1,200	$1.25	4d	3	0.44mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 1 Socorro, TX	3.0	1.0	920	$1,200	$1.30	25d	1	0.44mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 7 Socorro, TX	2.0	2.0	1021	$1,200	$1.18	25d	1	0.44mi
780 Clems Rd Unit 2 Socorro, TX	3.0	2.0	906	$1,200	$1.32	25d	1	0.44mi
10680 Horn Cir Socorro, TX	2.0	2.0	940	$1,338	$1.42	4d	3	0.57mi
10680 Horn Cir Unit 12 Socorro, TX	2.0	2.0	940	$1,350	$1.44	45d	1	0.57mi
1368 Reid Rd Unit B Socorro, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$925	$1.16	15d	1	1.13mi
629 David Ortiz St El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1447	$1,750	$1.21	4d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $149,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $149,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   price $149,000 Active 19 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   price $145,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-15
   days on market $174,999 Active 19 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $174,999 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $174,999 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,999 Active 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,999 Active 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,999 Active 11 DOM
13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $174,999 Active 8 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,999 Active 7 DOM
15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,999 Active 6 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,999 Active 5 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,999 Active 4 DOM
18. 2026-05-27
    listed $174,999 Active
19. 2024-05-28
    status Pending
20. 2024-05-02
    price $80,000
21. 2024-03-20
    listed $100,000 Active
22. 1992-04-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate 9% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,479
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,346
• − Property taxes: −$2,235
• − Insurance: −$745
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,398
• − Management: −$1,398
• − Depreciation: −$4,335
• Taxable loss: −$979
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$235
• After-tax cash flow: $1,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Socorro ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840710
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -34.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $49,318
• Composite: 25.67/100
• National rank: #7396
• State rank: #624 of 826 in TX

Livability — Socorro

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #830
• US rank: #14960

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Socorro, TX
• County: El Paso County · 761,266 people
• City population: 44,444
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• Population (ZIP): 44,444
• Household income: $53,652
• Rent vs Own: 19.2% rent · 80.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 732.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 897,899 people
• By 2030: 922,694 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 960,492 · +7.0%
• By 2050: 982,919 · +9.5%
• By 2075: 997,266 · +11.1%
• By 2100: 900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 39% Native American 2% White 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 94%
• Foreign-born: 34% · Canada
• Languages at home: 16% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

• 2024 margin: D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.93%
• Current HPI: 239.646
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.29%
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+75.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $174,999 GEPARMLS
• 2024-05-28 Pending — GEPARMLS
• 2024-05-02 Price Changed $80,000 GEPARMLS
• 2024-03-20 Listed $100,000 GEPARMLS
• 1992-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $250 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.