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502 Hope St
D Composite 43.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,500

502 Hope St · Washington, IL 61571
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1959 0.28 ac lot Est $107k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location for this nicely cared for 2 bedroom home! Updated roof, windows, siding and furnace. Informal dining area/den. Main floor laundry. Private backyard with 2 outbuildings. Two window air conditioner units will stay, but not warranted. This won't last long!

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story (primary living on main level)
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Built in 1959
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s); Outbuilding; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level) with egress window and walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout primary living areas
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Refrigerator included; No basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $122k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.3% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#272 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • District 50 Schools (suburban): math 12% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #553 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: J L Hensey Elem School (math 22% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 265 students, 0% FRL); Beverly Manor Elementary School (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #574 of 665 statewide, top 87%, 340 students, 0% FRL); Washington Comm High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #76 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 1,484 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 45% district-wide (45 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 77 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $847 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $122k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.94%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,752
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2115 Washington Rd 0.48mi 2/1.5 712 (-7%) 16mo $84,999 $119 50
2173 Washington Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 828 (+8%) 19mo $115,000 $139 48
2233 Northridge Ln 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (+14%) 12mo $148,000 $169 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-9,028
Equity at exit
$18,265
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,113
Equity at exit
$10,592

Cash invested: $34,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61571

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$642
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,742/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,061
Max offer price $122,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $239 -5% $204 +0% $170 +5% $135 +10% $100
Rent -10% $69 -5% $119 +0% $170 +5% $220 +10% $271
Rate -1.0pp $231 -0.5pp $201 base $170 +0.5pp $138 +1.0pp $106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,625
Closing costs
$3,675
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
924 School St Washington, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 15d 1 0.44mi
2244 Northridge Ln Washington, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,500 $1.82 15d 1 0.77mi
1910 Canterbury Dr Washington, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 15d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    historical $122,500
  2. 2024-05-31
    soldstatus $68,000
  3. 2021-08-27
    soldstatus $67,000 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Great location for this nicely cared for 2 bedroom home! Updated roof, windows, siding and furnace. Informal dining area/den. Main floor laundry. Private backyard with 2 outbuildings. Two window air conditioner units will stay, but not warranted. This won't last long!

  4. 2021-06-17
    listed $72,900 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Great location for this nicely cared for 2 bedroom home! Updated roof, windows, siding and furnace. Informal dining area/den. Main floor laundry. Private backyard with 2 outbuildings. Two window air conditioner units will stay, but not warranted. This won't last long!

  5. 2001-07-16
    soldstatus $49,500
  6. 2001-07-09
    soldstatus $49,500 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    A perfect home for the first time homebuyer or if you are downsizing. SUPER DEEP LOT. QUIET, CONVENIENT NEIGHBORHOOD. FAMILY ROOM HEATED BY GAS FIRE- PLACE/HEATER. CARPORT 14 X 24 CAN EASILY BE ENCLOSED. WOODED IN BACK. CALL ALICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFO 453-5300. Can Be Seen @ ASKFORALICE.COM NEW FURN-

  7. 2000-10-19
    listed $49,500 300-char remark
    Show marketing remark (300 chars)

    A perfect home for the first time homebuyer or if you are downsizing. SUPER DEEP LOT. QUIET, CONVENIENT NEIGHBORHOOD. FAMILY ROOM HEATED BY GAS FIRE- PLACE/HEATER. CARPORT 14 X 24 CAN EASILY BE ENCLOSED. WOODED IN BACK. CALL ALICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFO 453-5300. Can Be Seen @ ASKFORALICE.COM NEW FURN-

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,742 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,261 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$520/yr (+$43/mo · 29.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,315
− Mortgage interest
−$6,862
− Property taxes
−$1,742
− Insurance
−$612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− Depreciation
−$3,564
Taxable income
$85
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20
After-tax cash flow
$2,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District 50 Schools
NCES district ID
1741010
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,613
Composite
10.93/100
National rank
#9748
State rank
#553 of 620 in IL

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#5136

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, IL
City population
24,544
Population (ZIP)
24,544

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,252 people
By 2030
128,028 · -2.5%
By 2040
120,443 · -8.2%
By 2050
111,872 · -14.8%
By 2075
89,843 · -31.5%
By 2100
66,468 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.7) · D 35.8% · R 62.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -26.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.7 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+28.5 2012: R+17.9 2008: R+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.85%
Current HPI
149.5627
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+147.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $122,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $122,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $67,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-17 Listed $72,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2001-07-09 Sold (MLS) $49,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-19 Listed $49,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,742 · -20.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…