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122 5th Ave
B- Composite 69.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

122 5th Ave · Altoona, PA 16602
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,729 sqft · SingleFamily · 82 Days on market
Built 1896 3,049 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special or Value-Add Opportunity Located at 122 5th Ave, this as-is property is priced aggressively, offering strong potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The home features a functional layout and sits in a convenient Altoona location close to amenities, shopping, and major routes. Property is being sold strictly AS IS. Seller will make no repairs. Any inspections are for buyer's informational purposes only. Cash or conventional buyers only. With comparable renovated homes commanding higher values, this is an excellent opportunity for the right buyer looking to capitalize on upside potential. Schedule your showing today and bring your

Key facts

  • Strong potential
  • Functional layout
  • Convenient location

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENT LOCATIONCLOSE TO AMENITIESSTRONG POTENTIALVALUE ADD OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.8% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $25k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.84%
Cap rate
31.80%
Cash-on-cash
91.10%
DSCR
5.05
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,507
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 E 4th Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,708 (-1%) 0mo $27,000 $16 86
508-512 5th Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,755 (+2%) 1mo $75,000 $43 74
123 2nd Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,853 (+7%) 2mo $85,000 $46 70
215 7th Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,548 (-10%) 3mo $45,000 $29 68
215 Logan Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,768 (+2%) 2mo $200,000 $113 64
110 E Hudson Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,710 (-1%) 2mo $206,000 $120 62
210 Crawford Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,530 (-12%) 1mo $145,000 $95 60
616 E Crawford 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,786 (+3%) 3mo $163,750 $92 59
308 Crawford Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,504 (-13%) 3mo $103,000 $68 56
818 Bell Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,632 (-6%) 2mo $135,000 $83 54
711 E Bell Ave 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,580 (-9%) 1mo $166,000 $105 50
414 Grant Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,518 (-12%) 2mo $110,000 $72 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.9%
Equity multiple
5.26×
Total profit
$29,842
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
94.7%
Equity multiple
10.97×
Total profit
$69,761
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16602

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$961 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,031/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$531

Break-even live

Break-even rent $288
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $538 +0% $531 +5% $524 +10% $517
Rent -10% $456 -5% $493 +0% $531 +5% $569 +10% $607
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $538 base $531 +0.5pp $525 +1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1244 $790 $0.64 44d 1 0.22mi
1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1430 $899 $0.63 44d 1 0.92mi
1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 975 $1,277 $1.31 44d 9 0.94mi
1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 44d 1 1.03mi
1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.5 1050 $850 $0.81 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    price $25,000
  3. 2026-04-12
    price $33,500
  4. 2026-03-04
    price $37,500
  5. 2026-02-09
    status Active
  6. 2026-01-29
    status Pending
  7. 2026-01-23
    listed $43,500 Active
  8. 1977-08-01
    soldstatus $13,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,031 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,527
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$1,031
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$922
− Management
−$922
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$6,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,536
After-tax cash flow
$4,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Altoona

Score
79/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#2060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altoona, PA
County
Blair County · 59,867 people
City population
59,867
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
26,352
Household income
$55,046
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
740.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.37%
Current HPI
212.2268
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $25,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $33,500 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $37,500 AHARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Relisted AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $43,500 AHARMLS
  • 1977-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,031 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…