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30 Lake St Duplex
B Composite 74.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

30 Lake St · Perry, NY 14530
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,710 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1890 5,132 sqft lot $82/sqft · 30% below area Est $199k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

Key facts

  • Renovated duplex
  • Large kitchen
  • Separate entrances

Tags

RENOVATED DUPLEXSEPARATE ENTRANCESPARKING FOR EACH UNITSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMLARGE KITCHENWASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $207/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.2% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#348 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Perry Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #272 of 590 in NY (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wyoming County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $77k; list at $140k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $131,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
9.84%
Cash-on-cash
12.66%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,371
List price
$139,900
Delta
-29.83%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33 Benedict St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,564 (-8%) 20mo $90,000 $58 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,795
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$37,791
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14530

Home prices YoY
-4.0%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,988 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$365 /mo · $4,384/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$413

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,465
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $492 -5% $453 +0% $413 +5% $374 +10% $334
Rent -10% $256 -5% $335 +0% $413 +5% $492 +10% $570
Rate -1.0pp $484 -0.5pp $449 base $413 +0.5pp $377 +1.0pp $340

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,988

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  2. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  3. 2026-05-08
    price $139,900 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  4. 2026-05-07
    price $149,900 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  5. 2026-04-23
    price $159,900 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  6. 2026-04-12
    price $164,900 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  7. 2026-03-11
    listed $169,900 Active 1028-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1028 chars)

    Calling all investors! This renovated duplex is ready for tenants and is the perfect opportunity to start or expand your investment portfolio. Featuring both upper and lower units, each offering two bedrooms, this property provides flexibility for owner-occupants or investors alike. Separate entrances and parking for each unit offer added privacy and convenience. The lower unit includes a spacious living room, dining room, and a large kitchen with washer and dryer hookups. The upper unit features a comfortable living/dining room combination, and one of the bedrooms could easily function as a home office or flex space. (Upper unit does not currently have laundry hookups. ) Live in one unit while generating income from the other, or rent both for a solid investment opportunity. Ideally located just a short walk from Perry’s charming Main Street, where you can enjoy local shops, brewery, restaurants, gym, and farmer's market. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a great property in a fantastic location!

  8. 2024-11-01
    soldstatus $76,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,384 · $365/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,384 · $365/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,856
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$4,384
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,908
− Management
−$1,908
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$4,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perry Central School District
NCES district ID
3622770
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$48,386
Composite
49.23/100
National rank
#2036
State rank
#272 of 590 in NY

Livability — Perry

Score
72/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#5898

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perry, NY
Population (ZIP)
6,396

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,976 people
By 2030
37,826 · -3.0%
By 2040
35,585 · -8.7%
By 2050
32,841 · -15.7%
By 2075
25,920 · -33.5%
By 2100
19,082 · -51.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Danish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.2) · D 25.9% · R 74.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -48.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.2 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+51.0 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.45%
Current HPI
250.8251
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $139,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $149,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $159,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $164,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $169,900 UNYREIS
  • 2024-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $76,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,384 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…