19373 Goulburn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity with reliable tenants already in place generating $1,200 per month in passive income, making this beautifully updated bungalow a seamless addition to your portfolio. Boasting impressive updates throughout, the home welcomes you with inviting curb appeal and a charming front porch, opening up to bright, fluid living spaces finished with contemporary flooring and a fresh, neutral color palette. The fully renovated kitchen serves as a functional highlight, outfitted with sleek granite countertops, an elegant tile backsplash, modern cabinetry, and an optimized refrigerator alcove with built-in overhead storage. An architectural archway leads into a sunny dining nook, while the staircase guides you up to a versatile, expansive upper-level loft featuring plush carpeting, recessed lighting, and unique sloped ceilings perfectly suited for a primary suite or spacious bedroom. Offering exceptional value, stylish finishes, and zero downtime for cash flow, this turnkey property can also be packaged with MLS #20261020237 for an expanded investment footprint—please respect the occupants' privacy and do not disturb tenants.
Key facts
- Updated bungalow
- Modern cabinetry
- Sunny dining nook
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 35 x 115 (0.09 acre); Subdivision: Roseland Park Sub; Cross streets: Goulburn / Pinewood
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $57k; list at $99k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.75%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,676
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 78.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19161 Hamburg St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 2mo | $116,000 | $121 | 86 |
| 18982 Hamburg St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (+0%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $47 | 84 |
| 19730 Goulburn St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 977 (+3%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $117 | 81 |
| 20218 Goulburn St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (+2%) | 1mo | $12,000 | $12 | 69 |
| 13452 Tacoma St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 1mo | $69,072 | $77 | 69 |
| 13424 Tacoma St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-5%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $80 | 69 |
| 20218 Hickory St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (-2%) | 1mo | $26,000 | $28 | 64 |
| 20200 Alcoy St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 917 (-3%) | 2mo | $55,100 | $60 | 64 |
| 20300 Hickory St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (-3%) | 1mo | $31,000 | $34 | 60 |
| 20020 Pelkey St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+8%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $74 | 58 |
| 20543 Waltham St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 890 (-6%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 20541 Barlow St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+3%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $61 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,802
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,820
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$274 /mo · $3,289/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $225
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-04-03$110,000 Active 172-char remark
-
2026-04-03$110,000 Active 172-char remark
-
2026-01-15historical $1,200
-
2025-10-16price $1,200
-
2025-08-21price $1,250
-
2025-05-28$1,300
-
2021-04-08soldstatus $56,900
-
2020-08-15soldstatus $18,000 Sold
-
2020-08-15soldstatus $18,000 Closed
-
2020-07-10status Pending
-
2020-07-10status Pending
-
2020-05-05historical
-
2020-05-05$22,000 Active
-
2020-05-05historical
-
2020-05-05$22,000 Active
-
2020-02-21$22,000 Active
-
2020-02-21$22,000
-
2018-07-23historical
-
2018-07-23historical
-
2018-06-25price $19,999
-
2018-06-04$25,000 Active
-
2018-06-04$19,999
-
2018-06-01historical
-
2018-06-01historical
-
2017-11-21$25,000 Active
-
2017-11-21$25,000
-
2009-07-17soldstatus $7,700
-
2009-06-03$8,900
-
1992-10-07soldstatus $27,900
-
1992-08-13soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,289 · $274/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,289 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$3,289
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$315
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+661.5% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-26 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-15 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2025-05-28 Listed for Rent $1,300 APPFOLIO
- 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $56,900 Public Records
- 2020-08-15 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-15 Sold (MLS) $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-05-05 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-05-05 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-02-21 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-02-21 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-07-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-07-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-25 Price Changed $19,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-04 Listed $19,999 REALCOMP
- 2018-06-04 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2018-06-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-21 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-11-21 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-07-17 Sold (MLS) $7,700 REALCOMP
- 2009-06-03 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
- 1992-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records
- 1992-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,289 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…