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19373 Goulburn St
C Composite 59.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

19373 Goulburn St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 948 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1949 3,920 sqft lot $104/sqft · 61% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity with reliable tenants already in place generating $1,200 per month in passive income, making this beautifully updated bungalow a seamless addition to your portfolio. Boasting impressive updates throughout, the home welcomes you with inviting curb appeal and a charming front porch, opening up to bright, fluid living spaces finished with contemporary flooring and a fresh, neutral color palette. The fully renovated kitchen serves as a functional highlight, outfitted with sleek granite countertops, an elegant tile backsplash, modern cabinetry, and an optimized refrigerator alcove with built-in overhead storage. An architectural archway leads into a sunny dining nook, while the staircase guides you up to a versatile, expansive upper-level loft featuring plush carpeting, recessed lighting, and unique sloped ceilings perfectly suited for a primary suite or spacious bedroom. Offering exceptional value, stylish finishes, and zero downtime for cash flow, this turnkey property can also be packaged with MLS #20261020237 for an expanded investment footprint—please respect the occupants' privacy and do not disturb tenants.

Key facts

  • Updated bungalow
  • Modern cabinetry
  • Sunny dining nook

Tags

UPDATED BUNGALOWFULLY RENOVATED KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHMODERN CABINETRYSUNNY DINING NOOK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 35 x 115 (0.09 acre); Subdivision: Roseland Park Sub; Cross streets: Goulburn / Pinewood

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $99k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
9.02%
Cash-on-cash
9.75%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,676
List price
$99,000
Delta
78.35%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19161 Hamburg St 0.22mi 3/1.0 960 (+1%) 2mo $116,000 $121 86
18982 Hamburg St 0.29mi 3/1.0 952 (+0%) 3mo $45,000 $47 84
19730 Goulburn St 0.23mi 3/1.5 977 (+3%) 1mo $114,000 $117 81
20218 Goulburn St 0.57mi 3/1.0 965 (+2%) 1mo $12,000 $12 69
13452 Tacoma St 0.45mi 3/1.0 900 (-5%) 1mo $69,072 $77 69
13424 Tacoma St 0.43mi 3/1.0 900 (-5%) 3mo $72,000 $80 69
20218 Hickory St 0.67mi 3/1.0 930 (-2%) 1mo $26,000 $28 64
20200 Alcoy St 0.63mi 3/1.0 917 (-3%) 2mo $55,100 $60 64
20300 Hickory St 0.74mi 3/1.0 918 (-3%) 1mo $31,000 $34 60
20020 Pelkey St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+8%) 2mo $75,000 $74 58
20543 Waltham St 0.73mi 3/1.0 890 (-6%) 1mo $50,000 $56 55
20541 Barlow St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (+3%) 2mo $60,000 $61 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-3,802
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,820
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,341 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,289/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,056
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 17d 1 0.22mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 0.26mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.29mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 0.38mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 0.41mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 0.47mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 0.47mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 17d 1 0.50mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 17d 1 0.51mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 0.52mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 44d 1 0.57mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 17d 1 0.57mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 17d 1 0.62mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 24d 1 0.64mi
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 11d 1 0.67mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 17d 1 0.67mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.69mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 4d 1 0.73mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 0.84mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 24d 1 0.84mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 24d 1 0.88mi
11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 942 $1,050 $1.11 44d 1 0.93mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 1.02mi
13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 24d 1 1.04mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 24d 1 1.06mi
21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,225 $1.76 44d 1 1.12mi
13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 24d 1 1.21mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 13d 1 1.34mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 1.40mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 1.45mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 1.49mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-04-03
    listed $110,000 Active 172-char remark
  15. 2026-04-03
    listed $110,000 Active 172-char remark
  16. 2026-01-15
    historical $1,200
  17. 2025-10-16
    price $1,200
  18. 2025-08-21
    price $1,250
  19. 2025-05-28
    listed $1,300
  20. 2021-04-08
    soldstatus $56,900
  21. 2020-08-15
    soldstatus $18,000 Sold
  22. 2020-08-15
    soldstatus $18,000 Closed
  23. 2020-07-10
    status Pending
  24. 2020-07-10
    status Pending
  25. 2020-05-05
    historical
  26. 2020-05-05
    listed $22,000 Active
  27. 2020-05-05
    historical
  28. 2020-05-05
    listed $22,000 Active
  29. 2020-02-21
    listed $22,000 Active
  30. 2020-02-21
    listed $22,000
  31. 2018-07-23
    historical
  32. 2018-07-23
    historical
  33. 2018-06-25
    price $19,999
  34. 2018-06-04
    listed $25,000 Active
  35. 2018-06-04
    listed $19,999
  36. 2018-06-01
    historical
  37. 2018-06-01
    historical
  38. 2017-11-21
    listed $25,000 Active
  39. 2017-11-21
    listed $25,000
  40. 2009-07-17
    soldstatus $7,700
  41. 2009-06-03
    listed $8,900
  42. 1992-10-07
    soldstatus $27,900
  43. 1992-08-13
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,289 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,289 · $274/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,098
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$3,289
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,288
− Management
−$1,288
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$315
After-tax cash flow
$2,388/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+661.5% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $1,200 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-28 Listed for Rent $1,300 APPFOLIO
  • 2021-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $56,900 Public Records
  • 2020-08-15 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-08-15 Sold (MLS) $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-05 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-05-05 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-21 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-02-21 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-25 Price Changed $19,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $19,999 REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-04 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-21 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-21 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-07-17 Sold (MLS) $7,700 REALCOMP
  • 2009-06-03 Listed $8,900 REALCOMP
  • 1992-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records
  • 1992-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,289 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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