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1719 21st St
C- Composite 52.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1719 21st St · Two Rivers, WI 54241
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,898 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1927 4,791 sqft lot Est $211k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy this spacious home, bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Newer on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • Bonus space
  • Fenced-in backyard

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT DESIGNFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYFENCED-IN BACKYARDLARGE DETACHED GARAGEBONUS SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (total 2 garage parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
  • Home design: Two-story single-family home; Construction completed; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Finished above-grade living area approximately 1,656; Finished below-grade area approximately 242; Less than 1/2 acre lot (0.11 acre)
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Vinyl exterior; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 11); Refrigerator; Stove; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level (19 x 13); Second bedroom on upper level (12 x 9); Third bedroom on upper level (15 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas furnace
  • Interior features: Full, partially finished basement with block construction; Living room on main level (21 x 11)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Hot tub included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $152k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Two Rivers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#280 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Two Rivers Public School District (town): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 342 in WI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Koenig Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #783 of 1,041 statewide, top 79%, 325 students, 65% FRL); Clarke Middle (math 17% / reading 28%, grade F, #334 of 383 statewide, top 87%, 462 students, 46% FRL); Two Rivers High (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #400 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 474 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 100 units permitted in Manitowoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manitowoc County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $152,471 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.75%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,678
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1719 21st St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,898 (0%) 1mo $159,900 $84 99
2215 Adams St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,882 (-1%) 7mo $160,000 $85 77
1712 28th St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,926 (+2%) 3mo $210,000 $109 70
3110 School St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,901 (+0%) 1mo $219,000 $115 67
2714 School St 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,820 (-4%) 7mo $200,000 $110 60
2309 Jefferson St 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,734 (-9%) 10mo $265,000 $153 60
1726 27th St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,674 (-12%) 0mo $275,000 $164 60
1313 22nd St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,738 (-8%) 5mo $135,000 $78 60
819 24th St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,960 (+3%) 2mo $217,000 $111 57
2310 14th St 0.57mi 3/1.5 2,127 (+12%) 3mo $215,000 $101 51
1822 29th St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,665 (-12%) 8mo $222,000 $133 46
1921 29th St 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,635 (-14%) 9mo $217,500 $133 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-19,355
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-8,353
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54241

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$197 /mo · $2,361/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,395
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $193 -5% $148 +0% $103 +5% $57 +10% $12
Rent -10% $-18 -5% $42 +0% $103 +5% $163 +10% $223
Rate -1.0pp $183 -0.5pp $143 base $103 +0.5pp $61 +1.0pp $19

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    historical Active w/ Contract
  3. 2026-04-06
    listed $159,900 Active
  4. 2024-02-27
    soldstatus $148,000
  5. 2021-08-17
    soldstatus $120,800
  6. 2021-08-13
    soldstatus $120,750 Sold 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy this spacious home, bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Newer on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

  7. 2021-06-22
    historical Contingent 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy this spacious home, bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Newer on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

  8. 2021-06-18
    listed $119,900 Active 394-char remark
    Show marketing remark (394 chars)

    Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy this spacious home, bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Newer on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

  9. 2016-04-19
    soldstatus $67,000
  10. 2016-04-15
    soldstatus $67,000 Sold 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy a relaxing dip in the Hot Tub off of garage or bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Brand New on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

  11. 2016-02-09
    listed $69,900 Active 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    Completely updated 3 bedroom home! Enjoy a relaxing dip in the Hot Tub off of garage or bask in the warmth of the pellet stove in the living room during the cold winters! Large open kitchen, dining and living room and first floor laundry area with plenty of storage. Large master bedroom has vaulted ceiling and large closets. Brand New on demand gas water heater for enjoying long showers! Set up your private showing today!

  12. 2013-09-23
    listed $77,500
  13. 2013-09-23
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,361 · $197/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,660 · $222/mo
Expected delta
+$299/yr (+$25/mo · 12.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,297
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,361
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,464
− Management
−$1,464
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,400
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$336
After-tax cash flow
$1,567/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Two Rivers Public School District
NCES district ID
5515120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,006
Composite
20.63/100
National rank
#8545
State rank
#318 of 342 in WI

Livability — Two Rivers

Score
71/100
State rank
#280
US rank
#7250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Two Rivers, WI
County
Manitowoc County · 55,069 people
City population
14,120
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
Population (ZIP)
14,120
Household income
$61,014
Rent vs Own
22.3% rent · 77.7% own
Severe rent burden
199.0

Population outlook (Manitowoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,561 people
By 2030
74,096 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,752 · -11.5%
By 2050
60,731 · -20.7%
By 2075
48,723 · -36.4%
By 2100
39,250 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Manitowoc

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.4) · D 37.6% · R 61.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-30.9pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -23.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.4 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+2.8 2008: D+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.14%
Current HPI
261.6254
Rent YoY
Metro
Manitowoc, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending RANW
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent RANW
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $159,900 RANW
  • 2024-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $120,800 Public Records
  • 2021-08-13 Sold (MLS) $120,750 METROMLS
  • 2021-06-22 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2021-06-18 Listed $119,900 METROMLS
  • 2016-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-15 Sold (MLS) $67,000 METROMLS
  • 2016-02-09 Listed $69,900 METROMLS
  • 2013-09-23 Listing Removed METROMLS
  • 2013-09-23 Listed $77,500 METROMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,361 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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