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200 Robwood Rd
B+ Composite 78.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

200 Robwood Rd · Dundalk, MD 21222
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · SingleFamily · 65 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition $68/sqft · 23% below area Est $85k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained 2 bed/2 bath single wide mobile home FOR SALE in Dundalk. Home features 2 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Home has covered porch and shed in back. * * Lot Rent - $900 monthly * * Owner Financing Available * * Minimum Credit needed and monthly income

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Shed in back
  • Built 1982

Tags

COVERED PORCHSHED IN BACK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.3% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.78%
Cap rate
24.31%
Cash-on-cash
64.36%
DSCR
3.86
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$84,512
List price
$65,000
Delta
-23.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
211 Robwood Rd 0.04mi 2/1.0 962 (+1%) 10mo $22,000 $23 88
707 Gregwood Ct 0.19mi 2/1.0 902 (-5%) 9mo $55,000 $61 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.0%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$46,377
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
63.7%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$100,115
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21222

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,804 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$976

Break-even live

Break-even rent $569
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3427 North Point Rd Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,250 $2.23 20d 1 0.72mi
3413 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD 3.0 2.0 1016 $2,000 $1.97 43d 1 0.76mi
4004 St Monica Dr Unit 1 Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,895 $1.85 5d 1 0.87mi
4004 Saint Monica Dr Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,925 $1.88 5d 1 0.87mi
3221 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,750 $1.74 3d 1 0.92mi
3221 Wallford Dr Unit 3221 Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,750 $1.74 5d 1 0.92mi
7860 Saint Claire Ln Dundalk, MD 3.0 2.0 1024 $2,200 $2.15 5d 1 0.93mi
7851 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,595 $1.56 43d 1 1.01mi
1610 Melbourne Rd Dundalk, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 664 $1,240 $1.87 12d 1 1.14mi
3000 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 717 $1,330 $1.85 2d 35 1.16mi
909 S Marlyn Ave Essex, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 888 $1,375 $1.55 5d 1 1.27mi
7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,600 $2.36 43d 1 1.28mi
311 Wise Ave Dundalk, MD 1.0 1.0 818 $1,045 $1.28 43d 1 1.38mi
11 Seabright Ave Dundalk, MD 3.0 1.0 948 $1,874 $1.98 14d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-04-14
    listed $65,000 Active 275-char remark
    Show marketing remark (275 chars)

    Well maintained 2 bed/2 bath single wide mobile home FOR SALE in Dundalk. Home features 2 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Home has covered porch and shed in back. * * Lot Rent - $900 monthly * * Owner Financing Available * * Minimum Credit needed and monthly income

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,651
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,732
− Management
−$1,732
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$11,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,725
After-tax cash flow
$8,988/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and good curb appeal. It is ready for a new owner and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the home.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the home.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400120
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,746
Composite
23.17/100
National rank
#7948
State rank
#11 of 24 in MD

Livability — Dundalk

Score
85/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#510

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dundalk, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
59,407
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
59,407
Household income
$64,141
Rent vs Own
35.1% rent · 64.9% own
Severe rent burden
2566.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
885,518 people
By 2030
909,272 · +2.7%
By 2040
951,547 · +7.5%
By 2050
990,955 · +11.9%
By 2075
1,086,411 · +22.7%
By 2100
1,135,078 · +28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.44%
Current HPI
228.4218
Rent YoY
▼ -0.09%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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