514 Prairie Ave · Stanton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home needs some upgrades. Large shed at rear. # good sized bedrooms. Formal dining or 4th bedroom. Natural woodwork.
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Walking trail
- Off street parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#252 in IA, #4,870 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Stanton Community School District (rural): math 85% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #39 of 330 in IA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $767 appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.34%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,500
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -70.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Prairie Ave | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,246 (+9%) | 18mo | $62,000 | $50 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $37,513
- Equity at exit
- $19,916
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $89,897
- Equity at exit
- $27,371
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51573
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,122 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $228/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $556
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $587 | -5% $572 | +0% $556 | +5% $541 | +10% $525 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $468 | -5% $512 | +0% $556 | +5% $601 | +10% $645 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $584 | -0.5pp $570 | base $556 | +0.5pp $542 | +1.0pp $527 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $60,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
3 Bedroom home with natural woodwork. Good size bedrooms. Nice yard located near walking trail, schools and downtown. Needs some updating. Large shed at rear of yard. Off street parking off alley.
-
2026-03-24price $60,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
3 Bedroom home with natural woodwork. Good size bedrooms. Nice yard located near walking trail, schools and downtown. Needs some updating. Large shed at rear of yard. Off street parking off alley.
-
2026-03-09$65,000 Active 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Home needs some upgrades. Large shed at rear. # good sized bedrooms. Formal dining or 4th bedroom. Natural woodwork.
-
2026-03-06$65,000 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
3 Bedroom home with natural woodwork. Good size bedrooms. Nice yard located near walking trail, schools and downtown. Needs some updating. Large shed at rear of yard. Off street parking off alley.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $228 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $546 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$318/yr (+$26/mo · 139.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$228
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,077
- − Management
- −$1,077
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $6,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,471
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stanton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1927240
- Math proficiency
- 85% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,836
- Composite
- 69.69/100
- National rank
- #593
- State rank
- #39 of 330 in IA
Livability — Stanton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #4870
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stanton, IA
- City population
- 1,069
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,069
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,518 people
- By 2030
- 9,116 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 8,303 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 7,595 · -20.2%
- By 2075
- 6,568 · -31.0%
- By 2100
- 5,800 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.1) · D 29.8% · R 68.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -39.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.1 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.40%
- Current HPI
- 193.9411
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $60,000 IAR
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $60,000 SWIAR
- 2026-03-09 Listed $65,000 IAR
- 2026-03-06 Listed $65,000 SWIAR
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $228 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…