1708 Bunker Hill Ln · Lewisville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bed, 2 Bath Home & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; $75,000 This spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is located in a well-maintained community with a lot rent of $1,000/month. We offer both financing options and cash purchases to make homeownership accessible and flexible. ?? Located in a community ?? Price: $75,000 ?? 3 Bedrooms | ?? 2 Bathrooms ?? Financing Available & amp; Cash Offers Welcome Contact me today for more information or to schedule a showing! ?? 214-336-6696
Key facts
- Built 1984
- Listed 37 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 3.1% in Lewisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#440 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: commute D+, schools D-, amenities F.
- Lewisville ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #109 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 427 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.63%
- DSCR
- 4.37
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $65,349
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 75.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.63×
- Total profit
- $139,191
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75056
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 427
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $1,324
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,375 | -5% $1,350 | +0% $1,324 | +5% $1,298 | +10% $1,272 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,139 | -5% $1,231 | +0% $1,324 | +5% $1,416 | +10% $1,508 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,361 | -0.5pp $1,343 | base $1,324 | +0.5pp $1,304 | +1.0pp $1,284 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4253 Hunt Dr Carrollton, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1365 | $2,446 | $1.79 | 2d | 59 | 0.45mi |
| 1440 Carrollton Pkwy Unit 2118 Carrollton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1440 Carrollton Pkwy Unit 1477 Carrollton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $1,875 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1440 Carrollton Pkwy Carrollton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,313 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4255 Hunt Dr Unit 003 Carrollton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $2,439 | $1.26 | 19d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4230 Fairway Dr Carrollton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,293 | $2.29 | 1d | 26 | 0.67mi |
| 1402 Carrollton Pkwy Unit ID53314 Lewisville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,694 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1402 Carrollton Pkwy Carrollton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $3,275 | $3.00 | 3d | 42 | 0.70mi |
| 4213 Kiowa Dr Carrollton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2011 | $2,650 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1910 E State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,645 | $2.86 | 2d | 158 | 0.85mi |
| 1220 Indian Run Dr Carrollton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1064 | $2,394 | $2.25 | 2d | 23 | 0.85mi |
| 4281 Comanche Dr Carrollton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1953 | $2,495 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1980 State Highway 121 Unit 3121 Lewisville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,357 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1980 State Highway 121 Unit 2017 Lewisville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,805 | $1.61 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1980 State Highway 121 Unit 2121 Lewisville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,762 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1980 State Highway 121 Unit 2013 Lewisville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4212 Comanche Dr Carrollton, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2264 | $2,790 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1980 State Highway 121 Unit 3016 Lewisville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,200 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2040 E State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,413 | $2.39 | 2d | 26 | 0.96mi |
| 2040 Texas 121 Business Unit 61154 Lewisville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2100 E State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1064 | $3,195 | $3.00 | 4d | 202 | 1.03mi |
| 1531 State Highway 121 Unit 1564 Lewisville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,869 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1531 State Highway 121 Unit 3118 Lewisville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,693 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1531 State Highway 121 Unit 1588 Lewisville, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,343 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2200 E State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,690 | $2.82 | 3d | 52 | 1.14mi |
| 3921 Harrison Ct Carrollton, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3511 | $3,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4025 Huffines Blvd Carrollton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1203 | $2,979 | $2.48 | 17d | 57 | 1.22mi |
| 4025 Huffines Blvd Carrollton, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1203 | $3,026 | $2.51 | 1d | 52 | 1.22mi |
| 5500 State Highway 121 The Colony, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1044 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4221 Old Denton Rd Carrollton, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $2,787 | $2.46 | 2d | 17 | 1.37mi |
| 1128 Ivory Horn Dr Carrollton, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2656 | $3,695 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4168 Creekhollow Dr Carrollton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $3,300 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1356 Dallshan Dr Carrollton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$75,000 Active 469-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,238
- − Management
- −$2,238
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $15,619
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,748
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lewisville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827300
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,351
- Composite
- 47.1/100
- National rank
- #2333
- State rank
- #109 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lewisville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #440
- US rank
- #8991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lewisville, TX
- County
- Denton County · 901,654 people
- City population
- 84,871
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,628
- Household income
- $119,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1704.0
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 18% Asian 17% Two or more races 13% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.14%
- Current HPI
- 288.9388
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+47.1%/yrLatest (2025): $206,145 · +12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…