3172 Andes St · Port Neches, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 3172 Andes St. ! A beautiful place to call home right in the heart of Port Neches! This 3 bedroom, 1.5-bath home with a garage offers the perfect combination of comfort, convenience, and value. Inside, you’ll find updates throughout, large bedrooms, spacious living area, kitchen with plenty of cabinet space, and also an indoor laundry room! Outside enjoy a covered patio and private yard. Whether you’re searching for your first home, looking to downsize, or wanting to add a low-maintenance property to your investment portfolio, this home checks all the boxes. Located just minutes from the waterfront, shopping, dining, and PNG schools, you’ll love being close to
Key facts
- 2,450 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.7% in Port Neches — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#139 in TX, #3,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Port Neches-Groves ISD (suburban): math 42% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.96%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,089
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,811
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77651
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,914 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,719/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $276 | +0% $231 | +5% $185 | +10% $140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $155 | +0% $231 | +5% $306 | +10% $382 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $271 | base $231 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3148 Sandalwood Dr Port Neches, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1107 S 16th St Unit 1 Nederland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7201 Lake Arthur Dr Port Arthur, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,405 | $1.38 | 14d | 17 | 1.09mi |
| 1619 Avenue G Unit G Nederland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,750 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 304 Avenue E Nederland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1511 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 311 Nederland Ave Nederland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,890 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-18$159,900 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,719 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,719 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$3,719
- − Insurance
- −$1,597
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,837
- − Management
- −$1,837
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $369
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Neches-Groves ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835430
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,661
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #4152
- State rank
- #260 of 826 in TX
Livability — Port Neches
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #139
- US rank
- #3996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Neches, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,627
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.68%
- Current HPI
- 186.228
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Delisted — BBOR
- 2026-06-12 Listed $159,900 BBOR
- 2018-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,719 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…