905 Cavanaugh Rd · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming older home with lots of space, 4 bedrooms, living room plus kitchen open to large family room with fireplace. Hardwoods under carpet in most rooms. Carport plus detached 2 car garage/workshop in back yard. Large, private backyard.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Hvac system
- Open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered parking space; Concrete parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; House
- Construction: Brick and Masonite exterior; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Back yard fencing; Cleared lot; Paved road access; Public maintained road; Outbuilding; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Gas log fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1401473.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cavanaugh Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #60 of 454 statewide, top 15%, 310 students, 66% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 147835.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1401473.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5005241.10%
- DSCR
- 222706.06
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,496
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7501 Martin Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,527 (-3%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 615 Windbrook Ct | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,547 (-1%) | 6mo | $229,500 | $148 | 67 |
| 8104 Avignon Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,629 (+4%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $138 | 62 |
| 501 Janet Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,660 (+6%) | 3mo | $254,900 | $154 | 61 |
| 413 Chateau Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,411 (-10%) | 11mo | $210,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 8210 Avignon Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,462 (-7%) | 9mo | $214,900 | $147 | 53 |
| 908 Harvard Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,689 (+8%) | 4mo | $248,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 503 Janet Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (+11%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $143 | 48 |
| 8409 Vickery Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,787 (+14%) | 2mo | $269,800 | $151 | 47 |
| 6820 S 7th St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,793 (+14%) | 10mo | $176,000 | $98 | 47 |
| 7901 Clover Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,774 (+13%) | 9mo | $204,500 | $115 | 42 |
| 1401 Meadow Cir | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,790 (+14%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $131 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 265735.47×
- Total profit
- $74,406
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 573795.30×
- Total profit
- $160,662
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72908
- Active inventory
- 97
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $1,168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,168 | -5% $1,168 | +0% $1,168 | +5% $1,168 | +10% $1,168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,051 | -5% $1,109 | +0% $1,168 | +5% $1,226 | +10% $1,285 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,168 | -0.5pp $1,168 | base $1,168 | +0.5pp $1,168 | +1.0pp $1,168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 Hillside Dr Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1168 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1206 Mesa Dr Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1439 Brazil Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1415 Willowbrook Cir Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,299 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15status $1 Pending 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-11$1 Active
-
2014-08-28soldstatus $80,000
-
2014-08-27soldstatus $80,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Charming older home with lots of space, 4 bedrooms, living room plus kitchen open to large family room with fireplace. Hardwoods under carpet in most rooms. Carport plus detached 2 car garage/workshop in back yard. Large, private backyard.
-
2014-06-06$85,000 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Charming older home with lots of space, 4 bedrooms, living room plus kitchen open to large family room with fireplace. Hardwoods under carpet in most rooms. Carport plus detached 2 car garage/workshop in back yard. Large, private backyard.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,419
- − Management
- −$1,419
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $14,902
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,576
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, including updating the kitchen and bathrooms, painting interior walls, and trimming the landscaping. It has a good HVAC system and a metal roof, but the overall condition is fair with some minor repairs needed.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Cabinets appear slightly worn
- Minor bathroom fixtures — Fixtures need updating
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve both resale and rental value
- Both update kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly boost appeal
- Both update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance both resale and rental appeal
- Both trim landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and can attract more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Cabinets appear slightly worn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Fixtures need updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation needs trimming | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $16,000–56,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both update kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly boost appeal ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance both resale and rental appeal ↑
- Both trim landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and can attract more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,288
- Household income
- $72,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.01%
- Current HPI
- 202.0886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $1 WRVBOR
- 2014-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-27 Sold (MLS) $80,000 WRVBOR
- 2014-06-06 Listed $85,000 WRVBOR
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $523 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…