4111 E Grace Ave · Spokane, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks in the desirable Minnehaha neighborhood! This 4 bed, 2 bath rancher offers solid bones and tons of potential. The main floor features a spacious living room, dining area, and kitchen with stainless steel appliances, plus 3 generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Step outside to a large covered deck perfect for entertaining. Downstairs, you'll find a large second living area, non-egress bedroom, and two oversized storage rooms—perfect for added flexibility. Hardwood floors are hidden beneath the upstairs carpet, ready to be restored. A newer furnace adds value, while the home is primed for cosmetic updates to truly shine. Situated on a huge . 24-acre lot with a de
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Second living area
- Large covered deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Garage has slab, workshop area and garage door opener; RV access/parking; Off-site parking available
- Utilities: High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-family residential; One-story structure; Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Fenced yard; Automatic sprinklers; Level, open and oversized lot; City street frontage on a paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with recreation/family area; Basement laundry area; Open living area totaling 1,933 square feet (per public records)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-122 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (7.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (23.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Spokane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#93 in WA, #1,822 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Spokane School District (urban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #136 of 291 in WA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cooper Elementary (378 students, 76% FRL); Shaw Middle School (764 students, 88% FRL); Rogers High School (1,536 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 50% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $300k implies a 649% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.74%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $301,701
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4111 E Fairview Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (+13%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $222 | 68 |
| 4720 E Frederick Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+4%) | 2mo | $369,900 | $280 | 63 |
| 4028 E Jackson Ave Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (+12%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $251 | 62 |
| 5196 E Liberty Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (+5%) | 1mo | $305,995 | $229 | 50 |
| 5229 E Liberty Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (+5%) | 1mo | $305,995 | $229 | 49 |
| 5228 E Liberty Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (+5%) | 2mo | $316,395 | $237 | 48 |
| 5107 E Frederick Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 3mo | $329,995 | $239 | 44 |
| 5115 E Frederick Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 2mo | $324,995 | $235 | 44 |
| 5113 E Frederick Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 3mo | $332,995 | $241 | 44 |
| 5221 E Liberty Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 1mo | $319,995 | $231 | 43 |
| 5248 E Liberty Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 1mo | $319,995 | $231 | 43 |
| 5209 E Frederick Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (+9%) | 4mo | $329,995 | $239 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-44,233
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $6,801
- Equity at exit
- $25,938
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99217
- Home prices YoY
- -30.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.5%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$247 /mo · $2,961/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $-122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $48 | -5% $-37 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-207 | +10% $-292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-304 | -5% $-213 | +0% $-122 | +5% $-31 | +10% $60 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $29 | -0.5pp $-46 | base $-122 | +0.5pp $-200 | +1.0pp $-279 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2704 N Miami Ct Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4023 E Montgomery Ave Spokane, WA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,895 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4726 E Buckeye Ave Spokane, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,685 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3431 E Montgomery Ave #3433 Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,795 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4730 N Freya St Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2523 E Desmet Ave Spokane, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $299,999
-
2026-04-13$329,999 Active
-
1984-02-16soldstatus $40,059
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,961 · $247/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,961 · $247/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,961
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,215
- − Management
- −$2,215
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$6,733
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,616
- After-tax cash flow
- $152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spokane School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308250
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,187
- Composite
- 46.1/100
- National rank
- #5477
- State rank
- #136 of 291 in WA
Livability — Spokane
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #1822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spokane, WA
- County
- Spokane County · 496,401 people
- City population
- 298,820
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,441
- Household income
- $73,620
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 630.0
Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 531,314 people
- By 2030
- 549,278 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 577,822 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 598,188 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 630,744 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 622,360 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Spokane
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.19%
- Current HPI
- 343.0283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.52%
- Metro
- Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+648.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $299,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $329,999 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1984-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,059 Public Records
Property tax history
+31.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,961 · +2908.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…