CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5596 Cobalto Way
D+ Composite 49.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0

$309,900

5596 Cobalto Way · Ave Maria, FL 34142
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,355 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition 3,920 sqft lot Garage $229/sqft · 16% below area Est $371k · 16% under $161/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SHORT SALE OPPORTUNITY – LENDER'S VALUATION HAS BEEN COMPLETED – QUICK APPROVAL ANTICIPATED! Don't miss this fantastic opportunity to own a beautiful home in the highly desirable Maple Ridge community of Ave Maria! This home features a bright, open floor plan with beautiful wood-look flooring, a modern kitchen with white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a spacious center island, and stylish finishes throughout. The open living and dining areas offer plenty of room for entertaining, while the comfortable bedrooms and beautifully appointed bathrooms add to the home's appeal.

Key facts

  • Water park
  • Modern kitchen
  • 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

MODERN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPACIOUS CENTER ISLANDRESORT-STYLE SWIMMING POOLSWATER PARKWALKING AND BIKING PATHS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-706 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (40.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (40.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.9% in Ave Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Estates Elementary School (math 70% / reading 67%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 862 students, 53% FRL); Corkscrew Middle School (math 68% / reading 59%, grade B+, #109 of 571 statewide, top 19%, 958 students, 43% FRL); Palmetto Ridge High School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,347 students, 38% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 695 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,679/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,222 (40.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86% ✗
Cap rate
5.21%
Cash-on-cash
-3.86%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$370,760
List price
$309,900
Delta
-16.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5692 Cassidy Ln 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,366 (+1%) 5mo $353,000 $258 86
5501 Agostino Way 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,602 (+18%) 4mo $335,000 $209 53
5859 Cassidy Ln 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,133 (-16%) 4mo $318,010 $281 51
5784 Declaration Ct 1.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (+4%) 2mo $324,800 $230 51
5461 Soria Ave 0.27mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,594 (+18%) 7mo $335,000 $210 49
5901 Mayflower Way 1.10mi 2/2.0 1,460 (+8%) 4mo $265,000 $182 48
5796 Declaration Ct 1.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (+4%) 6mo $317,000 $224 47
5728 Declaration Ct 1.02mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-11%) 6mo $350,000 $292 41
5900 Mayflower Way 1.11mi 2/2.0 1,602 (+18%) 4mo $329,000 $205 37
5845 Mayflower Way 1.01mi 2/2.0 1,602 (+18%) 4mo $288,000 $180 36
5825 Mayflower Way 0.98mi 2/2.0 1,546 (+14%) 8mo $365,000 $236 35
5821 Mayflower Way 0.97mi 2/2.0 1,546 (+14%) 8mo $348,000 $225 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-68,635
Equity at exit
$74,089
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-91,787
Equity at exit
$77,190

Cash invested: $86,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
13 active · 5 under contract
Months of supply
13.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$365,000 ($229/sqft)
Median days on market
120 d
This list price
15% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+19.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34142

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
695
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,679 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax from tax record
−$481 /mo · $5,768/yr
Insurance
−$129
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
−$161
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$-706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,573
Max offer price $185,222
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-530 -5% $-618 +0% $-706 +5% $-793 +10% $-881
Rent -10% $-917 -5% $-812 +0% $-706 +5% $-600 +10% $-494
Rate -1.0pp $-550 -0.5pp $-627 base $-706 +0.5pp $-786 +1.0pp $-868

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,475
Closing costs
$9,297
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5604 Cobalto Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,600 $1.60 8d 1 0.02mi
5554 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,375 $1.74 51d 1 0.03mi
5554 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,375 $1.74 10d 1 0.03mi
5574 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,250 $1.38 162d 1 0.05mi
5662 Carrara Dr Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,300 $1.41 2d 1 0.10mi
5681 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1630 $2,400 $1.47 51d 1 0.15mi
5688 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 154d 1 0.16mi
5716 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1788 $2,449 $1.37 8d 1 0.21mi
5769 Cassidy Ln Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,175 $1.59 10d 1 0.28mi
5496 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1858 $2,400 $1.29 51d 1 0.32mi
5799 Agostino Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1133 $2,050 $1.81 10d 1 0.35mi
5682 Mayflower Way #806 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1457 $4,995 $3.43 10d 1 0.85mi
5080 Annunciation Cir #1306 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,900 $2.29 10d 1 0.88mi
5080 Annunciation Cir #1306 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,900 $2.29 51d 1 0.88mi
5690 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $3,295 $1.82 10d 1 0.89mi
5690 Mayflower Way #601 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1815 $5,500 $3.03 10d 1 0.89mi
5697 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1538 $2,495 $1.62 10d 1 0.89mi
5698 Mayflower Way #405 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1868 $5,495 $2.94 10d 1 0.92mi
5698 Mayflower Way #405 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1868 $5,495 $2.94 51d 1 0.92mi
5076 Annunciation Cir #2206 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1206 $3,100 $2.57 164d 1 0.93mi
5076 Annunciation Cir #2206 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1206 $2,800 $2.32 10d 1 0.93mi
5076 Annunciation Cir #2206 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1206 $3,100 $2.57 51d 1 0.93mi
5076 Annunciation Cir #2305 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $2,800 $2.40 164d 1 0.93mi
5076 Annunciation Cir #2203 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1254 $2,500 $1.99 9d 1 0.93mi
5769 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $4,000 $2.57 10d 1 0.94mi
5769 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1554 $4,000 $2.57 164d 1 0.94mi
5705 Mayflower Way #1407 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1536 $2,250 $1.46 164d 1 0.94mi
5068 Annunciation Cir #4201 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1266 $3,400 $2.69 164d 1 0.98mi
5068 Annunciation Cir #4210 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 3.0 1635 $2,750 $1.68 51d 1 0.98mi
5068 Annunciation Cir #4211 Ave Maria, FL 1.0 2.0 1100 $2,700 $2.45 164d 1 0.98mi
5068 Annunciation Cir #4211 Ave Maria, FL 1.0 2.0 1100 $2,700 $2.45 10d 1 0.98mi
5784 Declaration Ct Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,295 $1.62 37d 1 1.06mi
5462 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.5 1650 $2,250 $1.36 10d 1 1.10mi
5538 Useppa Dr Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $10,995 $5.94 10d 1 1.14mi
5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,550 $1.75 164d 1 1.14mi
5935 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1460 $2,550 $1.75 51d 1 1.14mi
5988 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1602 $5,200 $3.25 164d 1 1.24mi
5988 Mayflower Way Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1602 $5,200 $3.25 10d 1 1.24mi
5453 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $7,995 $4.32 10d 1 1.27mi
5453 Pikewood Ct Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.5 1850 $7,995 $4.32 51d 1 1.27mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Community poolClubhouseFitness centerBilliard roomDog parkPlaygroundPickleballParkSaunaTennis courtsTrailsSidewalksNon-gated communityShopping nearbyStreet lightsAssociation fees include irrigation water, road maintenance, street lights, and trashPets allowed

Exterior

Parking
Attached, covered garage with one spaceDrivewayPaved parkingGarage door opener
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerHigh-speed internet available
Home design
One storySouth-facingEntry level: 1
Construction
Tile roofBlock, concrete, and stucco construction
Exterior features
PatioOpen patio and porchManual shuttersNorth exposureMunicipal irrigation

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherElectric cooktopGarbage disposalMicrowaveRefrigerator
Bedrooms
Bedroom on the main levelPrimary bedroom on the main level
Flooring
Vinyl flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathroomsShower-only bathroomsSeparate shower
Heating & cooling
Central electric heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Single-hung and sliding windowsUnfurnishedBreakfast barBuilt-in featuresKitchen islandLiving/dining roomDenHigh-speed internet
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $309,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $309,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $309,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $309,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $309,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $309,900 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $309,900 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $309,900 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $309,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $309,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $309,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $309,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    remarks 687-char remark
  14. 2026-10-26
    pricedays on marketlisting id $309,900 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-10-23
    days on market $312,000 Active 177 DOM
  16. 2026-10-22
    days on market $312,000 Active 176 DOM
  17. 2026-10-21
    days on market $312,000 Active 175 DOM
  18. 2026-10-20
    days on market $312,000 Active 174 DOM
  19. 2026-10-19
    days on market $312,000 Active 173 DOM
  20. 2026-10-18
    days on market $312,000 Active 172 DOM
  21. 2026-10-17
    days on market $312,000 Active 171 DOM
  22. 2026-10-16
    days on market $312,000 Active 170 DOM
  23. 2026-10-15
    days on market $312,000 Active 169 DOM
  24. 2026-10-14
    days on market $312,000 Active 168 DOM
  25. 2026-10-13
    days on market $312,000 Active 167 DOM
  26. 2026-10-12
    days on market $312,000 Active 166 DOM
  27. 2026-10-11
    days on market $312,000 Active 165 DOM
  28. 2026-10-10
    days on market $312,000 Active 164 DOM
  29. 2026-10-09
    days on market $312,000 Active 163 DOM
  30. 2026-10-08
    days on market $312,000 Active 162 DOM
  31. 2026-10-07
    days on market $312,000 Active 161 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $312,000 Active 160 DOM
  33. 2026-10-05
    days on market $312,000 Active 159 DOM
  34. 2026-10-04
    days on market $312,000 Active 158 DOM
  35. 2026-10-04
    days on market $312,000 Active 157 DOM
  36. 2026-10-02
    days on market $312,000 Active 156 DOM
  37. 2026-10-01
    days on market $312,000 Active 155 DOM
  38. 2026-09-30
    days on market $312,000 Active 154 DOM
  39. 2026-09-29
    days on market $312,000 Active 153 DOM
  40. 2026-09-28
    days on market $312,000 Active 152 DOM
  41. 2026-09-27
    days on market $312,000 Active 151 DOM
  42. 2026-09-26
    days on market $312,000 Active 150 DOM
  43. 2026-09-25
    days on market $312,000 Active 149 DOM
  44. 2026-09-24
    price $312,000 Active 148 DOM
  45. 2026-09-24
    days on market $309,900 Active 148 DOM
  46. 2026-09-23
    days on market $309,900 Active 147 DOM
  47. 2026-09-22
    days on market $309,900 Active 146 DOM
  48. 2026-09-21
    days on market $309,900 Active 145 DOM
  49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $309,900 Active 144 DOM
  50. 2026-09-18
    days on market $309,900 Active 142 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,768 · $481/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,768 · $481/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,153
− Mortgage interest
−$17,359
− Property taxes
−$5,768
− Insurance
−$6,668
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,572
− Management
−$2,572
− HOA
−$1,932
− Depreciation
−$9,015
Taxable loss
−$13,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,296
After-tax cash flow
$-5,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,775–$20,325 screening

This home is in good condition with a fresh and inviting appearance. It has a good foundation and structure, and the interior walls and paint are in good condition. The kitchen and bathrooms are well-maintained, and the exterior is clean and well-maintained. The home is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
  • Both Install new flooring in the bedrooms — New flooring can improve both the resale and rental value. ↑
  • Resale Upgrade the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
  • Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase both the resale and rental value by making the home more energy-efficient and convenient. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Estates Elementary School B+ FL #409/2,144 Nat'l #4,125/41,679 Middle Corkscrew Middle School B+ FL #109/571 Nat'l #1,406/14,009 High Palmetto Ridge High School D- FL #207/667 Nat'l #6,330/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ave Maria

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ave Maria, FL
County
Collier County · 420,858 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,149
Household income
$62,333
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-10-23 Listed $309,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-10-23 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-09-24 Price Changed $312,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-07-06 Price Changed $309,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $319,900 NAPLESMLS

Property tax history

+90.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,768 · +90.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…