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14179 NE 53rd Court Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 45.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$168,900

14179 NE 53rd Court Rd · Silver Springs, FL 32113
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1990 6.62 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Almost 7 acres overlooking prairie has variety of large trees including oaks and palms. Relax under the sun on front 10x28 wood deck or enjoy the shade under covered 12x34 screen pad on back of home. Also includes attached 12x16 storage area and detached 20x16 workshop for all your tools and garden equipment. TLC needed on property & being sold in as-is condition w/ right to inspect. Portion of the vacant property falls in 100 year flood plain.

Key facts

  • Paved road
  • Metal roof
  • Corian countertops

Tags

RURAL ACRESPAVED ROADMETAL ROOFPRIVATE WELLCORIAN COUNTERTOPSUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on approximately 6.62 acres
  • Financial info: Property is homesteaded
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces east
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($1/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (12.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $147k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.6% in Silver Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fort Mccoy School (math 35% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,697 of 2,144 statewide, top 80%, 964 students, 73% FRL); North Marion High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #494 of 667 statewide, top 75%, 1,303 students, 66% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Marion average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $169k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,460 (12.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.18%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-27,345
Equity at exit
$25,184
10-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,723
Equity at exit
$14,603

Cash invested: $47,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32113

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
Insurance
$70
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$0

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,475
Max offer price $168,900
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $96 -5% $48 +0% $0 +5% $-48 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-116 -5% $-58 +0% $0 +5% $58 +10% $117
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $43 base $0 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,225
Closing costs
$5,067
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $168,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $168,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $168,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $168,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $168,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $168,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $168,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $168,900 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,900 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $168,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $168,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 432-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $168,900 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-03-11
    listed $199,900 Active 140-char remark
  16. 2014-02-04
    soldstatus $45,000
  17. 2014-01-29
    soldstatus $45,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Almost 7 acres overlooking prairie has variety of large trees including oaks and palms. Relax under the sun on front 10x28 wood deck or enjoy the shade under covered 12x34 screen pad on back of home. Also includes attached 12x16 storage area and detached 20x16 workshop for all your tools and garden equipment. TLC needed on property & being sold in as-is condition w/ right to inspect. Portion of the vacant property falls in 100 year flood plain.

  18. 2013-05-30
    listed $55,900 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Almost 7 acres overlooking prairie has variety of large trees including oaks and palms. Relax under the sun on front 10x28 wood deck or enjoy the shade under covered 12x34 screen pad on back of home. Also includes attached 12x16 storage area and detached 20x16 workshop for all your tools and garden equipment. TLC needed on property & being sold in as-is condition w/ right to inspect. Portion of the vacant property falls in 100 year flood plain.

  19. 2010-09-02
    historical
  20. 2009-09-01
    listed $125,000
  21. 2008-01-29
    soldstatus $122,000
  22. 2000-10-06
    soldstatus $48,000
  23. 1994-05-11
    soldstatus $23,900
  24. 1991-08-01
    soldstatus $15,995

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,003 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,402 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$399/yr (+$33/mo · 39.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,695
− Mortgage interest
−$9,461
− Property taxes
−$1,003
− Insurance
−$2,347
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,416
− Management
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$4,913
Taxable loss
−$2,860
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$686
After-tax cash flow
$687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,382

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.68%
Current HPI
284.1669
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+956.0% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $168,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-29 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-30 Listed $55,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-01 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 1994-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records
  • 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,995 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,003 · +27.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…