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401 Main St
B Composite 73.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$58,000

401 Main St · Kismet, KS 67859
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,518 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 491 Days on market
Built 1920 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Front porch swing
  • Updated electrical
  • Gas stove

Tags

CORNER LOTFRONT PORCH SWINGTANKLESS HOT WATER HEATERUPDATED ELECTRICALCLAW FOOT BATH TUBGAS STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: Heritage Real Estate Group, Inc
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Partial basement
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; 56 x 140 lot dimensions; Lot is approximately 0.18 acre; Zoned for single-family dwelling

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central heating
  • Interior features: Cooktop; Gas range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#284 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Kismet-Plains (rural): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #166 of 169 in KS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Seward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($401 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Seward County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 491 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 491 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.10%
Cash-on-cash
38.61%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.8%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$37,605
Equity at exit
$23,214
10-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
6.59×
Total profit
$90,761
Equity at exit
$33,689

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67859

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,198 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$523

Break-even live

Break-even rent $536
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $555 -5% $539 +0% $523 +5% $506 +10% $490
Rent -10% $428 -5% $475 +0% $523 +5% $570 +10% $617
Rate -1.0pp $552 -0.5pp $537 base $523 +0.5pp $507 +1.0pp $492

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $58,000 Active 491 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,000 Active 489 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,000 Active 488 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,000 Active 487 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,000 Active 486 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,000 Active 484 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $58,000 Active 483 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 480 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,000 Active 479 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,000 Active 478 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $58,000 Active 476 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $58,000 Active 474 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 473 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 472 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 471 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 470 DOM
  17. 2025-02-14
    listed $58,000 Active
  18. 2023-08-23
    historical
  19. 2023-04-27
    status Active
  20. 2023-04-26
    historical
  21. 2022-07-29
    listed $58,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,373
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$1,145
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,150
− Management
−$1,150
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$5,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,369
After-tax cash flow
$4,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kismet-Plains
NCES district ID
2008190
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,718
Composite
12.9/100
National rank
#9584
State rank
#166 of 169 in KS

Livability — Kismet

Score
65/100
State rank
#284
US rank
#12775

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kismet, KS
Population (ZIP)
648

Population outlook (Seward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,106 people
By 2030
24,590 · +2.0%
By 2040
25,797 · +7.0%
By 2050
27,053 · +12.2%
By 2075
30,074 · +24.8%
By 2100
31,968 · +32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Italian 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Seward

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.7% · R 68.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+30.4 2016: R+32.3 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+43.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.11%
Current HPI
136.3828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-02-14 Listed $58,000 SWKSBOR
  • 2023-08-23 Delisted SWKSBOR
  • 2023-04-27 Relisted SWKSBOR
  • 2023-04-26 Delisted SWKSBOR
  • 2022-07-29 Listed $58,000 SWKSBOR

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,145 · +51.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…