4901 Green River Rd #125 · Corona, CA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.9
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Back on the market! to no fault of the seller or the property. Charming 4-Bed Home, nestled along the scenic Santa Ana River in the gated Green River Village, this beautifully 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home sits on a premium lot. The interior features a spacious, light-filled open floor plan highlighted by a fully remodeled kitchen and a private primary suite. Designed for comfort and efficiency, the home is equipped with three brand-new ductless mini-split AC units, a new water heater, and a massive covered carport that accommodates up to four vehicles. Outside, enjoy a private covered patio, a separate fenced yard perfect for pets, an exterior storage shed, and upgraded electrical breakers.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fenced yard
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.9% in Corona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#461 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cesar Chavez Academy (938 students, 78% FRL); Corona High (2,251 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 35% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 37 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($964 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.38%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,350
- List price
- $139,500
- Delta
- -14.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4901 Green Riv #303 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $164 | 81 |
| 4901 Green Riv #229 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $124 | 74 |
| 4901 Green Riv #319 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,257 (-6%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $143 | 72 |
| 4901 Green Riv #153 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-8%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $146 | 71 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #140 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $97 | 71 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #248 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 9mo | $103,000 | $72 | 67 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #228 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 6mo | $159,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #227 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 11mo | $124,500 | $86 | 64 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #38 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $67 | 55 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #173 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+14%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #39 | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,508 (+12%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $109 | 49 |
| 4901 Green River Rd #258 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-15%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $135 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $121,713
- Equity at exit
- $125,673
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.04×
- Total profit
- $314,191
- Equity at exit
- $271,018
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 4 under contract
- Months of supply
- 14.4 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $192,500 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 35 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -11.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92878
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,349 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,092/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $863 | -5% $814 | +0% $766 | +5% $718 | +10% $670 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $581 | -5% $673 | +0% $766 | +5% $859 | +10% $952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $836 | -0.5pp $802 | base $766 | +0.5pp $730 | +1.0pp $693 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11533 Chadwick Rd Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $3,675 | $2.30 | 113d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4816 Feather River Rd Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1502 | $3,595 | $2.39 | 89d | 1 | 0.39mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located near Green River Rd and the 91 Freeway
- Financial info
- Monthly land lease of $1,710.62 (seller-provided amount)
- HOA & community
- Land lease community (Green River Village)Community features include curbs, golf course access, biking, dog park, hiking, and park
Exterior
- Parking
- Carport with 4 parking spaces
- Utilities
- Public sewerDistrict/public water
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile home (24' x 60')Mobile home remains on siteTotal of 1 story
- Construction
- Two sheds on property
- Exterior features
- Community poolGardenYardLot is level/flat
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorGas rangeGas water heater
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central furnace heatingWall/window coolingDuctless cooling
- Interior features
- One-level homeGround-level entryOne story
- Laundry & utility
- Indoor laundry room (individual room)
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $139,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $139,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $139,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $139,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $139,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $139,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $139,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $139,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $139,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $139,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $139,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $139,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-09-12pricestatusdays on market $139,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-07-28statusdays on market $124,900 Pending Sale 22 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-07-24status $124,900 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $124,900 Pending Sale 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active Under Contract 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone A · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$2,092
- − Insurance
- −$2,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,255
- − Management
- −$2,255
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable income
- $7,509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This charming 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is in good condition with recent updates, including new ductless mini-split AC units and a new water heater. The exterior siding could benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal and increase its value.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace the dated backsplash in the kitchen — Updating the backsplash can enhance the kitchen's appearance and functionality, making it more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corona-Norco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609850
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,380
- Composite
- 50.72/100
- National rank
- #3920
- State rank
- #312 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Corona
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #461
- US rank
- #15787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corona, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 188,369
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.32%
- Current HPI
- 574.78
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-05-24 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $124,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $165 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…