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237 N Turner Rd
B+ Composite 78.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

237 N Turner Rd · Austintown, OH 44515
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1948 0.52 ac lot $82/sqft · 49% below area Est $217k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,344 sq. ft. of potential on a spacious half-acre lot. The property features a solid foundation and structure, providing a reliable canvas for your personal touch. Designed for accessibility, the interior features an open-doorway layout. Key updates include a newer natural gas furnace (approx. 2 years old) and public water. The kitchen includes a refrigerator, electric stove, and microwave. Outside, you'll find a greenhouse and a septic system. No HOA fees! With some TLC, this home is a great opportunity.

Key facts

  • Open-doorway layout
  • Solid foundation
  • Greenhouse

Tags

SOLID FOUNDATIONOPEN-DOORWAY LAYOUTNEWER NATURAL GAS FURNACEPUBLIC WATERGREENHOUSESEPTIC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.8% in Austintown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#322 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Austintown Local Schools (suburban): math 56% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #290 of 656 in OH (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
11.90%
Cash-on-cash
20.02%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$216,977
List price
$110,000
Delta
-49.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
419 N Turner Rd 0.27mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,384 (+3%) 3mo $235,000 $170 73
500 N Turner Rd 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,424 (+6%) 8mo $246,000 $173 62
210 Clearwater Cv N 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,520 (+13%) 15mo $289,900 $191 51
170 Maple Leaf Dr 0.66mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,524 (+13%) 8mo $215,000 $141 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$14,948
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$55,336
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44515

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,003/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$514

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5604 1/2 Madrid Dr Youngstown, OH 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 43d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Active 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,344 sq. ft. of potential on a spacious half-acre lot. The property features a solid foundation and structure, providing a reliable canvas for your personal touch. Designed for accessibility, the interior features an open-doorway layout. Key updates include a newer natural gas furnace (approx. 2 years old) and public water. The kitchen includes a refrigerator, electric stove, and microwave. Outside, you'll find a greenhouse and a septic system. No HOA fees! With some TLC, this home is a great opportunity.

  2. 2026-03-22
    status Pending 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,344 sq. ft. of potential on a spacious half-acre lot. The property features a solid foundation and structure, providing a reliable canvas for your personal touch. Designed for accessibility, the interior features an open-doorway layout. Key updates include a newer natural gas furnace (approx. 2 years old) and public water. The kitchen includes a refrigerator, electric stove, and microwave. Outside, you'll find a greenhouse and a septic system. No HOA fees! With some TLC, this home is a great opportunity.

  3. 2026-03-16
    listed $110,000 Active 546-char remark
    Show marketing remark (546 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,344 sq. ft. of potential on a spacious half-acre lot. The property features a solid foundation and structure, providing a reliable canvas for your personal touch. Designed for accessibility, the interior features an open-doorway layout. Key updates include a newer natural gas furnace (approx. 2 years old) and public water. The kitchen includes a refrigerator, electric stove, and microwave. Outside, you'll find a greenhouse and a septic system. No HOA fees! With some TLC, this home is a great opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,003 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,003 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,800
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,003
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$4,717
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,132
After-tax cash flow
$5,035/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Austintown Local Schools
NCES district ID
3904829
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,129
Composite
50.99/100
National rank
#1778
State rank
#290 of 656 in OH

Livability — Austintown

Score
73/100
State rank
#322
US rank
#5290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mahoning · 224,175 people
City population
27,740
Metro
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Population (ZIP)
27,740
Household income
$52,831
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
10.9

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.64%
Current HPI
228.0895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-22 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,003 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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