1313 W Water St · Pinckneyville, IL 62274

$49,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily · 49 Days on market

Built 1936 0.42 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 3- bedroom home on spacious triple corner lot! - Opportunity awaits - exterior features vinyl siding and replacement windows and inviting covered front porch - perfect place to relax and enjoy the neighborhood - 2 car detached garage with easy ally access and additional parking space - comfortable floor plan featuring LR and DR combo - utility room with washer and dryer - affordable space and great lot size - bring your vision to make this home shine

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Easy ally access
• Triple corner lot

Tags

• TRIPLE CORNER LOT
• VINYL SIDING
• REPLACEMENT WINDOWS
• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• DETACHED GARAGE
• EASY ALLY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Ownership: Fee simple
• HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Built approximately 81–90 years ago; Home built before 1978
• Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 138 x 134; Quarter to half acre lot (.25-.49 acre); Unincorporated location

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Bedroom dimensions: 9 x 10, 10 x 10, and 9 x 10
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Five total rooms; Ceiling fan(s)
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($909 rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#772 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Pinckneyville Chsd 101 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #557 of 919 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Pinckneyville Comm High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 429 students, 0% FRL).
• Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.82% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 32.08%
• DSCR: 2.43
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $25,296
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
718 W Water St	0.62mi	2/1.0 (-1)	881 (+8%)	2mo	$27,500	$31	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.12×
• Total profit: $15,715
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.18×
• Total profit: $44,370
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62274

• Home prices YoY: -30.7%
• Active inventory: 33
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $909 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $748/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$191
• Net cashflow: $373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $49,900 Active 48 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $49,900 Active 47 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $49,900 Active 46 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $49,900 Active 44 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
16. 2026-04-30
    listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,911
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$748
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$873
• − Management: −$873
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $3,921
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$941
• After-tax cash flow: $3,541/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinckneyville Chsd 101
• NCES district ID: 1731620
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,433
• Composite: 26.43/100
• National rank: #12648
• State rank: #557 of 919 in IL

Livability — Pinckneyville

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #772
• US rank: #15454

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Pinckneyville, IL
• Population (ZIP): 8,147

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 19,868 people
• By 2030: 19,131 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 17,720 · -10.8%
• By 2050: 16,057 · -19.2%
• By 2075: 11,979 · -39.7%
• By 2100: 8,434 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.2% · R 75.2% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -48.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -52.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.7 2016: R+45.1 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+3.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.13%
• Current HPI: 140.388
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid