1338 Fernwood Dr · Jackson, MS 39213

$79,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,308 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1955 7,840 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks

One owner home with over 2300 sq. ft of Living space. Formal Living & Dining as you enter front entrance leading to Kitchen with gas stove, double stainless sink and refrigerator remains. SPLIT Plan with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The addition added on many years ago includes a spacious Master Bedroom, bath, large Family Room and huge game room; all with central heat and inside laundry room. Home has great potential of being a showplace but does need some TLC and updating. .. Must see to appreciate it. Selling AS IS. Will not go FHA nor VA. Call your Realtor to view!!

Key facts

• 7,840 sq ft lot
• 4 parking spots
• Built 1955

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Driveway; Paved parking; Total 4 parking spaces
• Security: Window bars
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone available
• Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition
• Construction: Brick construction; Conventional and slab foundation; Built area approximately 2,486 (source: assessor)
• Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Partial fencing; Few trees on the lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Water heater
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Wall furnace; Wall/window cooling units
• Interior features: Family room on the main level; Dead bolt locks and storm doors; Aluminum and wood window frames with window treatments; Private yard
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located inside on the main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
• Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 290 students, 100% FRL); Lanier High School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #197 of 197 statewide, top 100%, 603 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,438/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1138% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.80% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.30%
• DSCR: 2.39
• GRM: 4.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $43,852
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2206 Margaret W Alexander Dr	0.45mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,200 (-5%)	1mo	$29,000	$13	66
3580 Holmes Ave	0.33mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,108 (-9%)	6mo	$47,500	$23	60
3652 Westchester Dr	0.66mi	3/3.0 (-1)	1,980 (-14%)	10mo	$38,500	$19	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 48.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.61×
• Total profit: $80,701
• Equity at exit: $71,980

10-year hold

• IRR: 41.9%
• Equity multiple: 10.32×
• Total profit: $208,470
• Equity at exit: $155,228

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39213

• Home prices YoY: 7.0%
• Active inventory: 81
• Price-to-rent: 4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,438 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $584

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $639	-5% $611	+0% $584	+5% $556	+10% $528
Rent	-10% $470	-5% $527	+0% $584	+5% $640	+10% $697
Rate	-1.0pp $624	-0.5pp $604	base $584	+0.5pp $563	+1.0pp $542

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2814 Smith Robinson St Jackson, MS	5.0	2.0	1899	$1,497	$0.79	24d	1	1.07mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 578-char remark
13. 2026-06-03
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,251
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,380
• − Management: −$1,380
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $6,093
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,462
• After-tax cash flow: $5,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jackson Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2802190
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $33,234
• Composite: 10.89/100
• National rank: #9755
• State rank: #112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #66
• US rank: #9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jackson, MS
• County: Hinds County · 167,040 people
• City population: 140,204
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• Population (ZIP): 18,691
• Household income: $29,541
• Rent vs Own: 52.7% rent · 47.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1138.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 242,528 people
• By 2030: 241,113 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 235,557 · -2.9%
• By 2050: 226,946 · -6.4%
• By 2075: 199,995 · -17.5%
• By 2100: 164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Foreign-born: 0% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 21.42%
• Current HPI: 329.1844
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jackson, MS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 MLSU
• 1955-11-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records