1045 S THOMPSON St · Jackson, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$70,314
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1947
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($486 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $160k (69%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.90%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $196,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1042 S Thompson St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,772 (-3%) | 9mo | $238,500 | $135 | 78 |
| 1102 S West Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,780 (-2%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $107 | 69 |
| 1207 W Morrell St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,954 (+7%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $64 | 68 |
| 1311 W Morrell St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,962 (+8%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $102 | 66 |
| 204 S Wisner St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,846 (+1%) | 2mo | $219,900 | $119 | 61 |
| 902 W Washington Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 | 1,800 (-1%) | 8mo | $152,000 | $84 | 59 |
| 1201 4th St | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,920 (+6%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 739 Beverly Park Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,780 (-2%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $108 | 57 |
| 1238 Greenwood Ave | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 | 1,700 (-7%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $68 | 51 |
| 110 S Wisner St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,670 (-8%) | 9mo | $218,000 | $131 | 47 |
| 722 W Morrell St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,615 (-11%) | 7mo | $182,500 | $113 | 42 |
| 1207 W Michigan Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,562 (-14%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $147 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $42,871
- Equity at exit
- $31,616
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $104,470
- Equity at exit
- $48,724
Cash invested: $19,688 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49203-
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$369
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$88 /mo · $1,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $540
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $564 | +0% $540 | +5% $516 | +10% $491 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $437 | -5% $489 | +0% $540 | +5% $591 | +10% $642 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $575 | -0.5pp $558 | base $540 | +0.5pp $522 | +1.0pp $503 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,578
- Closing costs
- $2,109
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2021-10-08soldstatus $230,000
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $230,000 Closed 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $230,000 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
-
2021-08-24status Pending 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
-
2021-08-19$230,000 Active 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
-
2021-08-19$230,000 1022-char remark
Show marketing remark (1022 chars)
Multiple offer deadline Monday 8/23 @ 6PM! This beautiful updated 4 Bedroom open ranch could be yours! Home has large rooms too. Updates incl: Updated kitchen with island, white cabinets-slow close doors & drawers, granite counter tops, Ceramic backsplash (2021), Roof (2020), Driveway (2021), A/C (2019), Hot water heater (2019), Furnace (2018), Sump Pump (2018), recessed lights in Kitchen, Living room and bedrooms, Newer flooring and carpet throughout, custom blinds - honeycomb t/o & vertical on door walls, Master bed w/ private full bath, vinyl windows, new doors throughout home. Basement has extra room for whatever you choose - 15x15 along with a half bath. Stainless kitchen appliances & washer/dryer - 3 yrs old & all included. Half of home on basement, 1/2 on a crawl, Extra fridge in garage stays, Nest thermostat and Ring doorbell stay! Immediate occupancy! School at end of street. Excludes: Freezer in garage, cameras (2) in children's room, personal decor in landscaped areas.
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2018-03-22soldstatus $180,000
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2018-03-16soldstatus $180,000
-
2018-03-16soldstatus $180,000
-
2018-01-17$189,900
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2018-01-17$189,900
-
2017-09-19soldstatus $70,314 Sold
-
2017-08-27$70,314
-
2017-08-25historical
-
2017-08-24status Pending
-
2017-08-24status Pending
-
2017-08-15price $76,500
-
2017-08-15price $76,500
-
2017-07-27price $81,900
-
2017-07-26price $81,900
-
2017-07-20price $84,400
-
2017-07-19price $84,400
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2017-06-19$94,400 Active
-
2017-06-19$94,400 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,939
- − Property taxes
- −$1,055
- − Insurance
- −$352
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − Depreciation
- −$2,045
- Taxable income
- $5,697
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619620
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,344
- Composite
- 17.99/100
- National rank
- #8986
- State rank
- #458 of 540 in MI
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #4970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MI
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 156,365 people
- By 2030
- 153,123 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 144,981 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 135,671 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 113,833 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 86,592 · -44.6%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+143.6% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2021-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-08-19 Listed $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-08-19 Listed $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $180,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-01-17 Listed $189,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-01-17 Listed $189,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-09-19 Sold (MLS) $70,314 REALCOMP
- 2017-08-27 Listed $70,314 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-08-15 Price Changed $76,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-08-15 Price Changed $76,500 REALCOMP
- 2017-07-27 Price Changed $81,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-26 Price Changed $81,900 REALCOMP
- 2017-07-20 Price Changed $84,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-07-19 Price Changed $84,400 REALCOMP
- 2017-06-19 Listed $94,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-06-19 Listed $94,400 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,596 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…