10955 N 79th Ave #163 · Peoria, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- Move-in ready
- Attractive cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
- Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.25%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,899
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 36.61%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10955 N 79th Ave #60 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 972 (+2%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $67 | 85 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #3 | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 952 (0%) | 16mo | $46,000 | $48 | 81 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #37 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+3%) | 16mo | $88,000 | $90 | 76 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #128 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+3%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $41 | 76 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #33 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (0%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $89 | 73 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #166 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 896 (-6%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $64 | 67 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #30 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+11%) | 11mo | $106,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #153 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+11%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $99 | 60 |
| 7344 W Peoria Ave #21 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (+3%) | 15mo | $17,000 | $17 | 51 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #125 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+11%) | 21mo | $117,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #50 | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-12%) | 8mo | $18,000 | $21 | 45 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #65 | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+11%) | 3mo | $66,500 | $63 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $30,179
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 40.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $71,216
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85345
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,570 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $722
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $774 | -5% $748 | +0% $722 | +5% $696 | +10% $670 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $598 | -5% $660 | +0% $722 | +5% $784 | +10% $846 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $760 | -0.5pp $741 | base $722 | +0.5pp $703 | +1.0pp $683 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11600 N 75th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $1,325 | $1.63 | 3d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 11429 N 83rd Ave #2 Peoria, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 8280 W Madison St Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7951 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1411 | $2,163 | $1.53 | 2d | 30 | 0.86mi |
| 8165 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,223 | $2.44 | 2d | 229 | 0.88mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Unit 87 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,149 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,225 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,350 | $2.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 2d | 8 | 0.99mi |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,320 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,492 | $1.78 | 3d | 19 | 1.08mi |
| 8757 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $1,539 | $2.73 | 3d | 14 | 1.25mi |
| 9201 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,654 | $1.68 | 2d | 29 | 1.26mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9190 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $2,203 | $2.68 | 15d | 10 | 1.44mi |
| 11411 N 91st Ave Unit 213 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $1,399 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $75,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,
-
2025-10-27price $80,000 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,
-
2025-09-20$85,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,906
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,757/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready manufactured home in Suncrest One Mobile Home Park requires minor cosmetic updates to its exterior and interior to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Exterior siding — Slight staining and weathering.
- Minor Interior walls — Visible discoloration and wear.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance and potential need for updating.
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Functional but dated appearance.
- Minor Landscaping — Minimal and could benefit from updates to enhance curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase appeal and value.
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and functionality.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value.
- Both HVAC maintenance and potential upgrade — A clean and possibly upgraded HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting value.
- Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Slight staining and weathering. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Interior walls · Visible discoloration and wear. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance and potential need for updating. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Functional but dated appearance. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Minimal and could benefit from updates to enhance curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase appeal and value. ↑
- Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance and potential upgrade — A clean and possibly upgraded HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting value. ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria Unified School District (4237)
- NCES district ID
- 0406250
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,171
- Composite
- 34.62/100
- National rank
- #5152
- State rank
- #64 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #3603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 206,687
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,918
- Household income
- $67,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.77%
- Current HPI
- 328.1069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $75,000 ARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $80,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-20 Listed $85,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…