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10955 N 79th Ave #163
C+ Composite 62.17
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

10955 N 79th Ave #163 · Peoria, AZ 85345
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured · 271 Days on market
Built 1982 Fair condition $79/sqft · 37% above area Est $55k · 37% over ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Move-in ready
  • Attractive cabinets

Tags

BRIGHT KITCHENATTRACTIVE CABINETSPLENTY OF STORAGEMOVE-IN READYTURNKEY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
  • Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
17.84%
Cash-on-cash
41.25%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,899
List price
$75,000
Delta
36.61%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10955 N 79th Ave #60 0.08mi 2/2.0 972 (+2%) 5mo $65,000 $67 85
10955 N 79th Ave #3 0.08mi 2/1.5 952 (0%) 16mo $46,000 $48 81
10955 N 79th Ave #37 0.04mi 2/2.0 980 (+3%) 16mo $88,000 $90 76
7810 W Peoria Ave #128 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 980 (+3%) 2mo $40,000 $41 76
7810 W Peoria Ave #33 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 952 (0%) 12mo $85,000 $89 73
7810 W Peoria Ave #166 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 896 (-6%) 7mo $57,000 $64 67
7810 W Peoria Ave #30 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+11%) 11mo $106,000 $100 61
7810 W Peoria Ave #153 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+11%) 12mo $105,000 $99 60
7344 W Peoria Ave #21 0.60mi 2/2.0 980 (+3%) 15mo $17,000 $17 51
7810 W Peoria Ave #125 0.22mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+11%) 21mo $117,000 $111 45
7302 W Peoria Ave #50 0.62mi 2/1.0 840 (-12%) 8mo $18,000 $21 45
7302 W Peoria Ave #65 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+11%) 3mo $66,500 $63 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$30,179
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
40.6%
Equity multiple
4.39×
Total profit
$71,216
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85345

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,570 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$722

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $774 -5% $748 +0% $722 +5% $696 +10% $670
Rent -10% $598 -5% $660 +0% $722 +5% $784 +10% $846
Rate -1.0pp $760 -0.5pp $741 base $722 +0.5pp $703 +1.0pp $683

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11600 N 75th Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 814 $1,325 $1.63 3d 4 0.48mi
11429 N 83rd Ave #2 Peoria, AZ 1.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 25d 1 0.66mi
8280 W Madison St Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 44d 1 0.73mi
7951 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1411 $2,163 $1.53 2d 30 0.86mi
8165 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 911 $2,223 $2.44 2d 229 0.88mi
10860 N 85th Ave Unit 87 Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 780 $1,149 $1.47 6d 1 0.93mi
10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 780 $1,225 $1.57 44d 1 0.94mi
10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0 630 $1,350 $2.14 4d 1 0.94mi
8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 888 $1,450 $1.63 2d 8 0.99mi
6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 704 $1,320 $1.88 25d 1 1.07mi
8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $1,492 $1.78 3d 19 1.08mi
8757 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ 2.0 1.0 564 $1,539 $2.73 3d 14 1.25mi
9201 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 981 $1,654 $1.68 2d 29 1.26mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 3d 1 1.28mi
8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,595 $1.49 25d 1 1.28mi
9190 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $2,203 $2.68 15d 10 1.44mi
11411 N 91st Ave Unit 213 Peoria, AZ 2.0 2.0 858 $1,399 $1.63 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 271 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 270 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 269 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 268 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 266 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 265 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 262 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 261 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 260 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 257 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 256 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 255 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 254 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 253 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    price $75,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,

  16. 2025-10-27
    price $80,000 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,

  17. 2025-09-20
    listed $85,000 Active 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Spacious 14' x 68' home offering over 950 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath beauty features a bright kitchen with attractive cabinets and plenty of storage. Move-in ready and turnkey, this home is perfect for easy living. Located in the inviting Suncrest One Mobile Home Park,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,839
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,507
− Management
−$1,507
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,942
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,906
After-tax cash flow
$6,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Suncrest One Mobile Home Park requires minor cosmetic updates to its exterior and interior to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Slight staining and weathering.
  • Minor Interior walls — Visible discoloration and wear.
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance and potential need for updating.
  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Functional but dated appearance.
  • Minor Landscaping — Minimal and could benefit from updates to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase appeal and value.
  • Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and potential upgrade — A clean and possibly upgraded HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Slight staining and weathering. Minor $500–3,000
Interior walls · Visible discoloration and wear. Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance and potential need for updating. Minor $500–3,000
Kitchen cabinets · Functional but dated appearance. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Minimal and could benefit from updates to enhance curb appeal. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $2,500–15,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase appeal and value.
  • Both Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance and potential upgrade — A clean and possibly upgraded HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, boosting value.
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Fresh flooring can improve the home's overall appearance and value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peoria Unified School District (4237)
NCES district ID
0406250
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,171
Composite
34.62/100
National rank
#5152
State rank
#64 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Peoria

Score
76/100
State rank
#14
US rank
#3603

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A Cost of living C- Crime B Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Peoria, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
206,687
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
60,918
Household income
$67,380
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
1879.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.77%
Current HPI
328.1069
Rent YoY
▲ 0.62%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $75,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $80,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $85,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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