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687 Whitley Ln
C+ Composite 63.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

687 Whitley Ln · Clintondale, NY 12528
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1960 1.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in the Town of Lloyd! Situated on 1.4 private acres, this 4-bedroom home offers tremendous potential for renovation, customization, or resale. The property is in need of significant rehabilitation and is ready for its next owner to bring it back to life. Features include a full basement, attached garage, and a desirable location just minutes from New Paltz, the Mid-Hudson Bridge, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes. Whether you’re an investor, contractor, or buyer looking to create your dream home, this property presents a rare chance to add value and build equity. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • Attached garage
  • Full basement

Tags

PRIVATE ACRESFULL BASEMENTATTACHED GARAGEMINUTES FROM NEW PALTZMINUTES FROM MID-HUDSON BRIDGEMINUTES FROM SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax year reported (tax amount available in listing but excluded per instructions)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage (has garage)
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Sewer: Other; Utilities: See remarks
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Living area reported from public records
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Unfinished basement; Walkup attic
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront; Construction includes block and vinyl siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: No flooring information provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating system specified (listed as None/Other); No cooling system
  • Interior features: Unspecified additional interior features
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $473 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Clintondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#732 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment B+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Highland Central School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #227 of 590 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C+, #899 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 638 students, 38% FRL); Highland Middle School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 376 students, 42% FRL); Highland High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 512 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; list at $179k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $176,315 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.31%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$379,080
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Orchard Ln 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,394 (-1%) 16mo $332,000 $238 62
616 N Elting Corners Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,556 (+11%) 1mo $420,000 $270 53
7 Dirks Ter 0.27mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,608 (+14%) 12mo $435,000 $271 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,125
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$39,868
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12528

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,164 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax est. 1.5%
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $179,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    remarks 612-char remark
  13. 2026-06-01
    listed $179,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,968
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,077
− Management
−$2,077
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable income
$2,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$720
After-tax cash flow
$4,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highland Central School District
NCES district ID
3614400
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$63,600
Composite
51.89/100
National rank
#1652
State rank
#227 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clintondale

Score
64/100
State rank
#732
US rank
#13975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,818

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,887 people
By 2030
171,876 · -2.3%
By 2040
161,771 · -8.0%
By 2050
151,470 · -13.9%
By 2075
133,023 · -24.4%
By 2100
113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

2024 margin
D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.26%
Current HPI
327.3196
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $179,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-17 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-28 Sold (MLS) $118,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-23 Listed $139,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-23 Listed $139,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-23 Listed $139,000 HVCRMLS
  • 2018-04-28 Listed $140,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,071 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…