41 Northview Ave · Harveys Lake, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice manufactured home is on a double lot. 3 bedrooms, 1 bath with a new metal roof, siding, hardwood flooring, newer electrical service & windows & much more to offer. Home has working sewer. Needs a new well. The property includes a total of 9 lots , 2 Sewer permits with the additional lots, 40 Ft road giving access to additional lots. Zoned R2.
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Total of 9 lots
- New metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#923 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake-Lehman SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #176 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.43%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $44,311
- Equity at exit
- $45,123
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.45×
- Total profit
- $114,920
- Equity at exit
- $63,613
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18618
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$35 /mo · $416/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $595
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2025-10-08$119,000 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Nice manufactured home is on a double lot. 3 bedrooms, 1 bath with a new metal roof, siding, hardwood flooring, newer electrical service & windows & much more to offer. Home has working sewer. Needs a new well. The property includes a total of 9 lots , 2 Sewer permits with the additional lots, 40 Ft road giving access to additional lots. Zoned R2.
-
2024-10-25price $133,000
-
2024-09-14price $139,000
-
2022-10-13$199,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $416 · $35/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$732/yr (+$61/mo · 175.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$416
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $5,492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,318
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake-Lehman SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213020
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,161
- Composite
- 42.85/100
- National rank
- #3129
- State rank
- #176 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harveys Lake
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #923
- US rank
- #9992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harveys Lake, PA
- City population
- 3,583
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,583
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Current HPI
- 314.2169
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-40.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-08 Listed $119,000 LCAR
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $133,000 LCAR
- 2024-09-14 Price Changed $139,000 LCAR
- 2022-10-13 Listed $199,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $416 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…