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1005 S Meridian Rd
C Composite 57.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

1005 S Meridian Rd · Merrill, MI 48637
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1950 0.88 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for an affordable home that still offers peace and quiet? Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Merrill that sits on just shy of an acre. Large 2 car attached garage + additional shed. The roof and siding have both been updated. This home has been lovingly owned by the same family for 50 years and is ready for it's next chapter. Call your favorite Realtor for a showing today!

Key facts

  • Just shy of an acre
  • Updated siding
  • Attached garage

Tags

UPDATED ROOFUPDATED SIDINGATTACHED GARAGEADDITIONAL SHEDJUST SHY OF AN ACRE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with a shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) on the property; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Propane heating; No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 7 total rooms; Crawl space and block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#612 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Merrill Community Schools (rural): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #407 of 540 in MI (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $94,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.03%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,267
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$16,973
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48637

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $469/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $729
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $94,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home that still offers peace and quiet? Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Merrill that sits on just shy of an acre. Large 2 car attached garage + additional shed. The roof and siding have both been updated. This home has been lovingly owned by the same family for 50 years and is ready for it's next chapter. Call your favorite Realtor for a showing today!

  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $94,900 Active 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Looking for an affordable home that still offers peace and quiet? Check out this 3 bedroom home located in Merrill that sits on just shy of an acre. Large 2 car attached garage + additional shed. The roof and siding have both been updated. This home has been lovingly owned by the same family for 50 years and is ready for it's next chapter. Call your favorite Realtor for a showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$469 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$965 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$496/yr (+$41/mo · 105.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,127
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$469
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$970
− Management
−$970
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$1,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$280
After-tax cash flow
$2,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Merrill Community Schools
NCES district ID
2623610
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,417
Composite
22.27/100
National rank
#8141
State rank
#407 of 540 in MI

Livability — Merrill

Score
59/100
State rank
#612
US rank
#20550

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,068
Population (ZIP)
3,068

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.33%
Current HPI
206.396
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $469 · -75.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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