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563 W Bolivar St
B Composite 73.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

563 W Bolivar St · Vidor, TX 77662
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1956 10,454 sqft lot $82/sqft · 25% below area Est $132k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming Vidor home is ready for a fresh start and new memories! From the moment you arrive, the inviting front porch creates the perfect spot to enjoy your morning coffee or unwind after a long day. Inside, you’ll find a home full of potential with space to add your own style and personal touches. Whether you are looking for your first home, downsizing, or searching for an investment opportunity, this property offers the chance to create something truly special. Conveniently located near local shopping, dining, and schools with easy access to everyday essentials. Come imagine the possibilities and see how easily this house could feel like home!

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Listed 42 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in T H Breece subdivision
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Central electric heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.10%
Cash-on-cash
13.61%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$132,471
List price
$100,000
Delta
-24.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
405 W Bolivar St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (-0%) 12mo $120,000 $99 72
265 Beach St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,300 (+7%) 7mo $132,900 $102 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,058
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$29,718
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77662

Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,306 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,775/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $904
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $346 +0% $318 +5% $289 +10% $261
Rent -10% $214 -5% $266 +0% $318 +5% $369 +10% $421
Rate -1.0pp $368 -0.5pp $343 base $318 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $265

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
240 Mill St Unit B Vidor, TX 1.0 1.0 880 $995 $1.13 14d 1 0.24mi
290 Beach St Vidor, TX 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,550 $1.55 14d 1 0.62mi
575 Moreland St Vidor, TX 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,395 $0.98 14d 1 0.66mi
315 N Dwayne Cir Vidor, TX 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,600 $1.54 21d 1 0.77mi
475 S Denver St Vidor, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 910 $850 $0.93 44d 2 0.95mi
475 S Denver St Unit St216 Vidor, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $850 $0.97 14d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $100,000 Active 664-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,775 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 3.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,670
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,775
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,254
− Management
−$1,254
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$2,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$570
After-tax cash flow
$3,241/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vidor ISD
NCES district ID
4844160
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,169
Composite
33.95/100
National rank
#5331
State rank
#422 of 826 in TX

Livability — Vidor

Score
67/100
State rank
#576
US rank
#11001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vidor, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
City population
25,041
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,041
Household income
$72,243
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
401.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
141.0844
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $100,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,775 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…