Duplex
160 Beach 30th St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$669,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Colonial-style, Legal 2-family home, with 3 levels, featuring 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Close to local shopping, transportation, playgrounds, ocean beaches and the Far Rockaway boardwalk.
Key facts
- 2,145 sq ft lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 133 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Sewer: Other; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s)
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Soaking tub; Patio
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $670k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $306/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $655k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $590k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,549/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($590k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.64%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-69,512
- Equity at exit
- $99,884
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-10,100
- Equity at exit
- $57,921
Cash invested: $187,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11691
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 17.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,549 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,513
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$279
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,375
- Net cashflow
- $612
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $6,548 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,274 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,274 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,549 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $167,475
- Closing costs
- $20,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-57 Beach 25th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $3,700 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8-27 Hartman Ln Unit 1ST Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2937 | $3,250 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2250 | $3,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2175 Bay Blvd Atlantic Beach, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2178 | $6,499 | $2.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2105 Bay Blvd Atlantic Beach, NY | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2100 | $6,500 | $3.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $669,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $669,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $669,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $669,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $669,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $669,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $669,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $669,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $669,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $669,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-03-10price $669,900
-
2026-02-05price $679,900
-
2026-02-04$599,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,115 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,718 · $643/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,603/yr (+$300/mo · 87.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,525
- − Property taxes
- −$4,115
- − Insurance
- −$8,468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,287
- − Management
- −$6,287
- − Depreciation
- −$19,488
- Taxable loss
- −$3,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$860
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,359
- Household income
- $56,135
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4702.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -397.66%
- Current HPI
- 281.4044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+11.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $669,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $679,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Listed $599,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,115 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…