CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
160 Beach 30th St Duplex
C- Composite 54.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$669,900

160 Beach 30th St · New York, NY 11691
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,606 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 133 Days on market
Built 2004 2,145 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Colonial-style, Legal 2-family home, with 3 levels, featuring 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms. Close to local shopping, transportation, playgrounds, ocean beaches and the Far Rockaway boardwalk.

Key facts

  • 2,145 sq ft lot
  • Built 2004
  • Listed 133 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Sewer: Other; Utilities: See remarks
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s)
  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Soaking tub; Patio

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $670k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $306/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $655k (2.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $590k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,549/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($590k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $589,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-69,512
Equity at exit
$99,884
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-10,100
Equity at exit
$57,921

Cash invested: $187,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11691

Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,549 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,513
Tax from tax record
$343 /mo · $4,115/yr
Insurance
$279
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,375
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,774
Max offer price $669,900
Occupancy floor 86%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,549

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$167,475
Closing costs
$20,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1-57 Beach 25th St Far Rockaway, NY 3.0 2.0 3000 $3,700 $1.23 24d 1 0.19mi
8-27 Hartman Ln Unit 1ST Far Rockaway, NY 3.0 1.5 2937 $3,250 $1.11 20d 1 0.52mi
325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY 3.0 1.5 2250 $3,100 $1.38 24d 1 0.82mi
2175 Bay Blvd Atlantic Beach, NY 3.0 2.5 2178 $6,499 $2.98 24d 1 1.06mi
2105 Bay Blvd Atlantic Beach, NY 4.0 4.0 2100 $6,500 $3.10 43d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $669,900 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $669,900 Active 132 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $669,900 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $669,900 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $669,900 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $669,900 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $669,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $669,900 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $669,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $669,900 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-03-10
    price $669,900
  12. 2026-02-05
    price $679,900
  13. 2026-02-04
    listed $599,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,115 · $343/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,718 · $643/mo
Expected delta
+$3,603/yr (+$300/mo · 87.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$78,588
− Mortgage interest
−$37,525
− Property taxes
−$4,115
− Insurance
−$8,468
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,287
− Management
−$6,287
− Depreciation
−$19,488
Taxable loss
−$3,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$860
After-tax cash flow
$8,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,359
Household income
$56,135
Rent vs Own
72.3% rent · 27.7% own
Severe rent burden
4702.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -397.66%
Current HPI
281.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $669,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $679,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $599,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,115 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…