7839 Clayburn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow plus a full basement . This property presents strong potential for the savvy investor, handyman, or buyer looking for their next rehab or renovation project. The layout offers functional living space with a full basement providing additional storage and utility potential. Property will require TLC and updates, making it an excellent opportunity to renovate and add value for rental or resale purposes. Conveniently located near major roadways, local amenities and everyday services, Whether you are expanding a rental portfolio or searching for your next rehab project.
Key facts
- Major roadways
- Full basement
- Local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Ranch style; Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1951; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot size about 0.14 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 9)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (16 x 11); Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,282/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $43k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.55%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $52,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8630 Greenview Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (+0%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $54 | 66 |
| 7667 Greenview Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 2mo | $65,100 | $68 | 65 |
| 6789 Grandmont Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 911 (-1%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $88 | 62 |
| 7391 Ashton Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,023 (+11%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $39 | 61 |
| 8271 Rosemont Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+9%) | 2mo | $35,500 | $36 | 59 |
| 8449 Penrod St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,011 (+10%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 7746 Penrod St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,005 (+9%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $60 | 58 |
| 8309 Brace St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 864 (-6%) | 1mo | $28,500 | $33 | 56 |
| 7633 Faust Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,045 (+14%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $57 | 52 |
| 7425 Stahelin Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+9%) | 4mo | $37,000 | $37 | 50 |
| 6884 Memorial Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 786 (-15%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $89 | 42 |
| 8838 Faust Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,029 (+12%) | 4mo | $54,500 | $53 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $26,768
- Equity at exit
- $8,126
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $59,553
- Equity at exit
- $4,712
Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$286
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $617
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $648 | -5% $633 | +0% $617 | +5% $602 | +10% $587 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $516 | -5% $567 | +0% $617 | +5% $668 | +10% $719 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $645 | -0.5pp $631 | base $617 | +0.5pp $603 | +1.0pp $589 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,625
- Closing costs
- $1,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,200 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7419 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6761 Memorial Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,299 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,250 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 2d | 15 | 1.15mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,540 | $2.31 | 3d | 10 | 1.32mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7411 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,428 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6406 Mead St Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $54,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$59,500 Active 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (627 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow plus a full basement . This property presents strong potential for the savvy investor, handyman, or buyer looking for their next rehab or renovation project. The layout offers functional living space with a full basement providing additional storage and utility potential. Property will require TLC and updates, making it an excellent opportunity to renovate and add value for rental or resale purposes. Conveniently located near major roadways, local amenities and everyday services, Whether you are expanding a rental portfolio or searching for your next rehab project.
-
2026-05-17$59,500 Active 627-char remark
Show marketing remark (627 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow plus a full basement . This property presents strong potential for the savvy investor, handyman, or buyer looking for their next rehab or renovation project. The layout offers functional living space with a full basement providing additional storage and utility potential. Property will require TLC and updates, making it an excellent opportunity to renovate and add value for rental or resale purposes. Conveniently located near major roadways, local amenities and everyday services, Whether you are expanding a rental portfolio or searching for your next rehab project.
-
2026-05-17$59,500 Active
Show marketing remark (627 chars)
Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow plus a full basement . This property presents strong potential for the savvy investor, handyman, or buyer looking for their next rehab or renovation project. The layout offers functional living space with a full basement providing additional storage and utility potential. Property will require TLC and updates, making it an excellent opportunity to renovate and add value for rental or resale purposes. Conveniently located near major roadways, local amenities and everyday services, Whether you are expanding a rental portfolio or searching for your next rehab project.
-
2008-09-06historical
-
2008-08-24$6,500
-
2005-01-26soldstatus $43,107
-
2004-06-11$42,300
-
1998-11-24soldstatus $61,900
-
1998-03-24soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,053
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$1,585
- Taxable income
- $6,970
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,673
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+250.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $59,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-17 Listed $59,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-17 Listed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-09-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-08-24 Listed $6,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-01-26 Sold (MLS) $43,107 REALCOMP
- 2004-06-11 Listed $42,300 REALCOMP
- 1998-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records
- 1998-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,042 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…