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628 N 7th Ave #12
C Composite 56.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

628 N 7th Ave #12 · Sequim, WA 98382
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · Manufactured · 143 Days on market
Built 1991 Average condition $134/sqft · at area comps Est $213k · at est. ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.

Key facts

  • Built-in workspace
  • Open kitchen
  • Garage

Tags

DEDICATED OFFICE CRAFT ROOMOPEN KITCHENSPACIOUS DINING LIVING AREASLIDING DOOR ACCESS BACKYARDGENEROUS LAUNDRY ROOMBUILT-IN WORKSPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $189,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
6.98%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$212,857
List price
$215,000
Delta
1.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
645 N 7th 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (+0%) 2mo $249,950 $155 91
610 N 7th Ave 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-0%) 8mo $205,000 $128 86
629 N 7th Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,630 (+2%) 9mo $261,700 $161 82
508 N 7th Ave 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,502 (-6%) 3mo $240,000 $160 81
507 N 7th Ave 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,502 (-6%) 5mo $235,000 $156 79
747 W Heritage Loop 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,458 (-9%) 1mo $250,000 $171 77
734 Heritage Loop 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,458 (-9%) 9mo $335,000 $230 71
891 N Portside Way 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,642 (+2%) 6mo $300,000 $183 70
325 N Fifth Ave #34 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,388 (-14%) 9mo $190,000 $137 58
51 Juniper Mobile Ests 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,442 (-10%) 9mo $135,000 $94 58
626 N Priest Rd 0.57mi 2/2.0 1,728 (+8%) 8mo $500,000 $289 54
420 W Cove Ln 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,772 (+10%) 0mo $320,000 $181 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-12,498
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$17,983
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98382

Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,324 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax est. 1.5%
$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$350

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $499 -5% $425 +0% $350 +5% $276 +10% $202
Rent -10% $167 -5% $258 +0% $350 +5% $442 +10% $534
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $405 base $350 +0.5pp $295 +1.0pp $238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,300 $1.70 45d 1 0.27mi
522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA 2.0 2.0 1336 $2,450 $1.83 45d 1 0.62mi
246 W Maple St Sequim, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 45d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $215,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $215,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $215,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $215,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    status $215,000 Pending 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-04-01
    price $215,000
  16. 2026-03-02
    price $229,000
  17. 2026-01-22
    listed $239,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,889
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,225
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,231
− Management
−$2,231
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$199
After-tax cash flow
$4,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

The home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal to buyers. Updates to the interior walls, flooring, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures would significantly enhance its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design
  • Minor exterior siding — some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpeting — new flooring improves aesthetics
  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the space
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · dated design Minor $500–3,000
exterior siding · some discoloration Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace carpeting — new flooring improves aesthetics
  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the space
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sequim School District
NCES district ID
5307830
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,969
Composite
52.77/100
National rank
#3312
State rank
#64 of 291 in WA

Livability — Sequim

Score
70/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#7845

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime B Employment D Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sequim, WA
County
Clallam County · 31,052 people
City population
31,052
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
Population (ZIP)
31,052
Household income
$74,189
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
666.0

Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,817 people
By 2030
78,177 · +1.8%
By 2040
79,795 · +3.9%
By 2050
80,890 · +5.3%
By 2075
83,933 · +9.3%
By 2100
82,141 · +6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clallam

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.89%
Current HPI
181.4372
Rent YoY
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $229,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $239,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…