628 N 7th Ave #12 · Sequim, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well designed home offers 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office/ craft room, providing flexible space for work and everyday living. The open kitchen flows into a spacious dining and living area, perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. The large primary bedroom features a sliding door with direct access to the fenced backyard, creating an ideal indoor-outdoor connection. A generous laundry room with built-in workspace adds extra functionality, while ample closets and cabinetry throughout provide excellent storage. Additional highlights include upgraded flooring, a 1-car garage, and a private backyard with garden area, perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
Key facts
- Built-in workspace
- Open kitchen
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.98%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,857
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- 1.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 N 7th | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,612 (+0%) | 2mo | $249,950 | $155 | 91 |
| 610 N 7th Ave | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-0%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $128 | 86 |
| 629 N 7th Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+2%) | 9mo | $261,700 | $161 | 82 |
| 508 N 7th Ave | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,502 (-6%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $160 | 81 |
| 507 N 7th Ave | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,502 (-6%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $156 | 79 |
| 747 W Heritage Loop | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (-9%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $171 | 77 |
| 734 Heritage Loop | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (-9%) | 9mo | $335,000 | $230 | 71 |
| 891 N Portside Way | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,642 (+2%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $183 | 70 |
| 325 N Fifth Ave #34 | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,388 (-14%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 51 Juniper Mobile Ests | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,442 (-10%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 626 N Priest Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,728 (+8%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $289 | 54 |
| 420 W Cove Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,772 (+10%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $181 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,498
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $17,983
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,324 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$488
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $499 | -5% $425 | +0% $350 | +5% $276 | +10% $202 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $167 | -5% $258 | +0% $350 | +5% $442 | +10% $534 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $459 | -0.5pp $405 | base $350 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $238 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,300 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 246 W Maple St Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $215,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $215,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $215,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $215,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $215,000 Pending 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $215,000
-
2026-03-02price $229,000
-
2026-01-22$239,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,231
- − Management
- −$2,231
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $829
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal to buyers. Updates to the interior walls, flooring, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures would significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — dated design
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace carpeting — new flooring improves aesthetics
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the space
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated design | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace carpeting — new flooring improves aesthetics ↑
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the space ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sequim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #7845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sequim, WA
- County
- Clallam County · 31,052 people
- City population
- 31,052
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $215,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $229,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $239,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…