3317 Cheyenne Ave · Burton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.9/15.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom 2 bath home has updated vinyl siding, newer windows and roof. Kitchen has been updated and includes all appliances. Primary bedroom is on the main floor with a full bath. The upstairs can be 2 bedrooms or a sitting area and bedroom and bath. The main floor has a den/office with outside entrance. The basement has a finished tornado shelter and partially finished. The backyard is fenced and has a 2 car detached garage.
Key facts
- Updated vinyl siding
- Newer windows
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.8% in Burton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#555 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Bendle Public Schools (suburban): math 6% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #487 of 540 in MI (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $110k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,783
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 12.39%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 Macdonald Ave Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,495 (-6%) | 6mo | $101,900 | $68 | 71 |
| 905 Macdonald Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,541 (-3%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $78 | 70 |
| 818 Mckinley Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (+2%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $71 | 70 |
| 3814 Shawnee Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+1%) | 9mo | $114,000 | $71 | 65 |
| 2399 E Parkwood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,681 (+5%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $101 | 61 |
| 818 Dell Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,774 (+11%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $54 | 60 |
| 617 Mckeighan Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (-14%) | 1mo | $146,000 | $106 | 56 |
| 3442 Griffith St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+6%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 4209 Custer Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,523 (-4%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $53 | 50 |
| 3128 Ludwig St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (-14%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $120 | 49 |
| 4222 Circle Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,420 (-11%) | 9mo | $68,500 | $48 | 44 |
| 549 Buckingham Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,374 (-14%) | 7mo | $42,800 | $31 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,677
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $17,169
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48529
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3908 Cherokee Ave Flint, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $1,350 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4428 Pengelly Rd Flint, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $900 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3440 Creekside Blvd Burton, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,424 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-10status $109,900 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $109,900 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
This 3 bedroom 2 bath home has updated vinyl siding, newer windows and roof. Kitchen has been updated and includes all appliances. Primary bedroom is on the main floor with a full bath. The upstairs can be 2 bedrooms or a sitting area and bedroom and bath. The main floor has a den/office with outside entrance. The basement has a finished tornado shelter and partially finished. The backyard is fenced and has a 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-05-16price $109,900 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
This 3 bedroom 2 bath home has updated vinyl siding, newer windows and roof. Kitchen has been updated and includes all appliances. Primary bedroom is on the main floor with a full bath. The upstairs can be 2 bedrooms or a sitting area and bedroom and bath. The main floor has a den/office with outside entrance. The basement has a finished tornado shelter and partially finished. The backyard is fenced and has a 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-04-22$119,900 Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
This 3 bedroom 2 bath home has updated vinyl siding, newer windows and roof. Kitchen has been updated and includes all appliances. Primary bedroom is on the main floor with a full bath. The upstairs can be 2 bedrooms or a sitting area and bedroom and bath. The main floor has a den/office with outside entrance. The basement has a finished tornado shelter and partially finished. The backyard is fenced and has a 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-04-22$119,900 Active 435-char remark
Show marketing remark (435 chars)
This 3 bedroom 2 bath home has updated vinyl siding, newer windows and roof. Kitchen has been updated and includes all appliances. Primary bedroom is on the main floor with a full bath. The upstairs can be 2 bedrooms or a sitting area and bedroom and bath. The main floor has a den/office with outside entrance. The basement has a finished tornado shelter and partially finished. The backyard is fenced and has a 2 car detached garage.
-
1995-09-21soldstatus $50,000
-
1995-09-21soldstatus $50,000
-
1995-08-04historical
-
1995-07-10$51,500
-
1995-07-10$51,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,544 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,396
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $1,154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$277
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bendle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2604740
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,492
- Composite
- 14.36/100
- National rank
- #9438
- State rank
- #487 of 540 in MI
Livability — Burton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #555
- US rank
- #17380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burton, MI
- City population
- 26,014
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,959
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.30%
- Current HPI
- 228.5338
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+113.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-09-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-09-21 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
- 1995-08-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-07-10 Listed $51,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-07-10 Listed $51,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,396 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…