🏗️ New Construction
1344 Normalview Dr · Bowling Green, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTER'S DREAM! This property is just waiting for you to take over. Designed to be either a family home or a multifamily single unit. Located across from the newly updated community park, soccer fields, tennis courts and more. Included with sell; blueprint, appraisal, material list, Building permit, and possible leasing opportunity, if buyer desires.
Key facts
- Community park
- Tennis courts
- Soccer fields
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Residential single-family home; New construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms (all located on the main level)
- Interior features: Four full bathrooms, all on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#255 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bowling Green Independent (urban): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #44 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Dishman Mcginnis Elementary School (math 24% / reading 22%, grade F, #520 of 676 statewide, top 77%, 430 students, 96% FRL); Bowling Green Junior High (math 37% / reading 46%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 963 students, 65% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #51 of 254 statewide, top 21%, 1,294 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 53% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 591 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,286 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (1,410 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,809/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 3855% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $180k implies a 847% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.42%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-22,149
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-22,699
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42101
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 591
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,809 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $310 | -5% $248 | +0% $185 | +5% $123 | +10% $61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $114 | +0% $185 | +5% $257 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $231 | base $185 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1225 N Lee Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,345 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1525 Park St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 509 University Dr Bowling Green, KY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2071 | $2,400 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1307 Magnolia St Bowling Green, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1117 Greenwood Aly Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 14d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 1233 Henry Dr Bowling Green, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 354-char remark
-
2026-06-10$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,737
- − Management
- −$1,737
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$681
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$163
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowling Green Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2100570
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,181
- Composite
- 31.86/100
- National rank
- #5870
- State rank
- #44 of 165 in KY
Livability — Bowling Green
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #12782
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowling Green, KY
- County
- Warren County · 129,408 people
- City population
- 129,408
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,421
- Household income
- $48,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3855.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,620 people
- By 2030
- 155,977 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 179,381 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 203,713 · +40.9%
- By 2075
- 267,291 · +84.8%
- By 2100
- 314,019 · +117.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% American 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.3) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -24.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.3 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.34%
- Current HPI
- 277.6554
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.28%
- Metro
- Bowling Green, KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+686.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $180,000 RASKMLS
- 2025-02-03 Price Changed $36,000 RASKMLS
- 2024-07-10 Listed $37,500 RASKMLS
- 2022-08-22 Listed $29,900 RASKMLS
- 2021-02-24 Sold (MLS) $19,000 RASKMLS
- 2021-02-15 Listed $22,900 RASKMLS
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $96 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…