168 Briarcliff Rd · Berwick, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming ranch style property. This home offers the ease of one floor living. Comfortable living spaces and spacious bedrooms and a functional kitchen are perfect for everyday living. Enjoy the convenience of nearby amenities, while still having the comfort of a peaceful setting. The property also offers a nice yard for outdoor gatherings or just relaxing. Whether you are a first time home buyer or are looking to downsize this home combines comfort, convenience and location all in one.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Nearby amenities
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in the Park Place Village subdivision; Zoned residential
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; No foundation details provided; Built area above grade
- Exterior features: Deck; Sidewalks in the community
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Insulated windows; 7 total rooms; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-28/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Berwick Area Ms (math 19% / reading 54%, grade F, #307 of 512 statewide, top 61%, 844 students, 100% FRL); Berwick Area Hs (math 57% / reading 70%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 782 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 46% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $165k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.38%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-26,875
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-23,545
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18603
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $-2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $44 | +0% $-2 | +5% $-49 | +10% $-96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-115 | -5% $-59 | +0% $-2 | +5% $54 | +10% $110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $40 | base $-2 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 511-char remark
-
2026-06-07$165,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,120 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$487/yr (+$41/mo · 29.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,365
- − Management
- −$1,365
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$680
- After-tax cash flow
- $652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berwick Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,964
- Composite
- 37.36/100
- National rank
- #4433
- State rank
- #291 of 539 in PA
Livability — Berwick
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #412
- US rank
- #3762
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berwick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,985
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,170 people
- By 2030
- 64,054 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 61,131 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 57,526 · -11.7%
- By 2075
- 50,259 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 44,756 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.40%
- Current HPI
- 211.5643
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $165,000 CSVBR
- 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,633 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…