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168 Briarcliff Rd
D Composite 43.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

168 Briarcliff Rd · Berwick, PA 18603
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 888 sqft · Other public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1940 9,147 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming ranch style property. This home offers the ease of one floor living. Comfortable living spaces and spacious bedrooms and a functional kitchen are perfect for everyday living. Enjoy the convenience of nearby amenities, while still having the comfort of a peaceful setting. The property also offers a nice yard for outdoor gatherings or just relaxing. Whether you are a first time home buyer or are looking to downsize this home combines comfort, convenience and location all in one.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Nearby amenities
  • Peaceful setting

Tags

ONE FLOOR LIVINGFUNCTIONAL KITCHENNICE YARDNEARBY AMENITIESPEACEFUL SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Located in the Park Place Village subdivision; Zoned residential
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; No foundation details provided; Built area above grade
  • Exterior features: Deck; Sidewalks in the community

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; 7 total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-28/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.4% in Berwick — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#412 in PA, #3,762 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Berwick Area Ms (math 19% / reading 54%, grade F, #307 of 512 statewide, top 61%, 844 students, 100% FRL); Berwick Area Hs (math 57% / reading 70%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 782 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 46% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 82 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $165k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,190 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.38%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-26,875
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-23,545
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18603

Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$-2

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,425
Max offer price $164,583
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $44 +0% $-2 +5% $-49 +10% $-96
Rent -10% $-115 -5% $-59 +0% $-2 +5% $54 +10% $110
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $40 base $-2 +0.5pp $-45 +1.0pp $-89

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 511-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,633 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,120 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$487/yr (+$41/mo · 29.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,063
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,633
− Insurance
−$1,492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,365
− Management
−$1,365
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$680
After-tax cash flow
$652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berwick Area SD
NCES district ID
4203480
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,964
Composite
37.36/100
National rank
#4433
State rank
#291 of 539 in PA

Livability — Berwick

Score
76/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#3762

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Berwick, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,985

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,170 people
By 2030
64,054 · -1.7%
By 2040
61,131 · -6.2%
By 2050
57,526 · -11.7%
By 2075
50,259 · -22.9%
By 2100
44,756 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Polish 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 34.0% · R 65.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -4.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+12.4 2008: R+4.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.40%
Current HPI
211.5643
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $165,000 CSVBR
  • 2003-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,633 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…