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410 E 8th St
B+ Composite 78.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$55,000

410 E 8th St · Caruthersville, MO 63830
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · Other public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1940 9,147 sqft lot $38/sqft · 27% below area Est $75k · 27% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*PRICE REDUCED* 1940's Home that has been well maintained by the owner. Open space of the living room and dining room gives this home a modern feel. Original hardwood floor and tall ceilings keep the original character of the home. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 walk in closets. Plenty of cabinet space in the kitchen. The newly updated boiler heat system offers efficient and affordable heat. Fenced in backyard. Offered for Conventional loan or Cash purchase. Lot Size 50X183.5

Key facts

  • Tall ceilings
  • Fenced in backyard
  • 9,147 sq ft lot

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORTALL CEILINGSFENCED IN BACKYARDPLENTY OF CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#780 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caruthersville 18 (town): math 14% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #307 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Caruthersville Elementary (math 21% / reading 23%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 496 students, 99% FRL); Caruthersville Middle (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #359 of 391 statewide, top 92%, 188 students, 98% FRL); Caruthersville High (math 2% / reading 44%, grade F, #453 of 521 statewide, top 87%, 258 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 69% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Pemiscot County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $716 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pemiscot County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $50,050 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
17.76%
Cash-on-cash
40.94%
DSCR
2.82
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,007
List price
$55,000
Delta
-26.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$28,564
Equity at exit
$12,482
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$71,644
Equity at exit
$12,442

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63830

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $331/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $556 -5% $541 +0% $525 +5% $510 +10% $494
Rent -10% $439 -5% $482 +0% $525 +5% $569 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $539 base $525 +0.5pp $511 +1.0pp $497

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    remarks 515-char remark
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 87 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $55,000 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    *PRICE REDUCED* 1940's Home that has been well maintained by the owner. Open space of the living room and dining room gives this home a modern feel. Original hardwood floor and tall ceilings keep the original character of the home. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 walk in closets. Plenty of cabinet space in the kitchen. The newly updated boiler heat system offers efficient and affordable heat. Fenced in backyard. Offered for Conventional loan or Cash purchase. Lot Size 50X183.5

  19. 2026-04-01
    price $61,000 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    *PRICE REDUCED* 1940's Home that has been well maintained by the owner. Open space of the living room and dining room gives this home a modern feel. Original hardwood floor and tall ceilings keep the original character of the home. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 walk in closets. Plenty of cabinet space in the kitchen. The newly updated boiler heat system offers efficient and affordable heat. Fenced in backyard. Offered for Conventional loan or Cash purchase. Lot Size 50X183.5

  20. 2026-03-05
    listed $62,500 Active 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    *PRICE REDUCED* 1940's Home that has been well maintained by the owner. Open space of the living room and dining room gives this home a modern feel. Original hardwood floor and tall ceilings keep the original character of the home. 3 Bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 walk in closets. Plenty of cabinet space in the kitchen. The newly updated boiler heat system offers efficient and affordable heat. Fenced in backyard. Offered for Conventional loan or Cash purchase. Lot Size 50X183.5

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$331 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$534 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$202/yr (+$17/mo · 61.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,129
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$331
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$5,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,378
After-tax cash flow
$4,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caruthersville 18
NCES district ID
2907470
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,187
Composite
15.06/100
National rank
#9349
State rank
#307 of 324 in MO

Livability — Caruthersville

Score
54/100
State rank
#780
US rank
#23872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Caruthersville, MO
Population (ZIP)
6,315

Population outlook (Pemiscot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,803 people
By 2030
14,934 · -5.5%
By 2040
13,246 · -16.2%
By 2050
11,669 · -26.2%
By 2075
8,426 · -46.7%
By 2100
6,057 · -61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pemiscot

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 25.3% · R 74.3%
2008→2024 swing
-35.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+33.5 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+13.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.30%
Current HPI
99.2828
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $61,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $62,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $331 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…