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183 Fern
D Composite 41.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$299,000

183 Fern · Terra Alta, WV 26764
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,374 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 2003 0.46 ac lot Est $301k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to "Harewood Cottage", located at the end of a peaceful cul-de-sac inside the gates of ALPINE LAKE RESORT. Surrounded by the woods, rock formations, & babbling brooks, relaxing at this home will be effortless. LVP flooring in LL. Bonus loft with built-ins for a fabuous flex space. Just a quick walk to the 150 acre stocked lake. Resort amenities incl. 18 hole GOLF COURSE, mini golf, 24/7 SECURITY, tennis, BEACH, dog park, HIKING TRAILS, & lodge with RESTAURANT, bar, INDOOR POOL, & fitness center.

Key facts

  • Central ac system
  • Patio and deck
  • Pristine lake

Tags

WHOLE-HOUSE GENERATORNEW ROOFCENTRAL AC SYSTEMOUTDOOR SPACESPATIO AND DECKPRISTINE LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Community clubhouse, gated entry, golf, pool, and tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Gas log fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-949/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (28.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#196 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Preston County Schools (rural): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #39 of 55 in WV (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Terra Alta/East Preston School (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 310 students, 0% FRL); Central Preston Middle School (math 19% / reading 42%, grade F, #57 of 109 statewide, top 52%, 322 students, 0% FRL); Preston High School (math 10% / reading 32%, grade F, #100 of 110 statewide, top 91%, 1,178 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Preston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Preston County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $214,596 (28.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.13%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$300,906
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 Azalea Ln 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,318 (-4%) 2mo $299,000 $227 73
62 Wildrose Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,421 (+3%) 8mo $311,225 $219 54
80 Beebalm 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,464 (+7%) 3mo $320,000 $219 53
89 Laurel Cir 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,485 (+8%) 18mo $275,000 $185 51
451 Laurel Cir 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,220 (-11%) 23mo $285,000 $234 46
16 Goldfinch Ln 0.32mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,190 (-13%) 18mo $285,000 $239 40
488 Laurel Cir 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (+15%) 16mo $281,000 $178 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.7% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$10,801
Equity at exit
$113,129
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$71,651
Equity at exit
$159,294

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26764

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,146 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $982/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,246
Max offer price $285,034
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $6 +0% $-79 +5% $-164 +10% $-248
Rent -10% $-249 -5% $-164 +0% $-79 +5% $6 +10% $90
Rate -1.0pp $72 -0.5pp $-3 base $-79 +0.5pp $-157 +1.0pp $-235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $299,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,000 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,000 Active 64 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    price $299,000
  19. 2026-03-27
    listed $315,000 Active
  20. 2022-06-24
    soldstatus $270,500 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Welcome to "Harewood Cottage", located at the end of a peaceful cul-de-sac inside the gates of ALPINE LAKE RESORT. Surrounded by the woods, rock formations, & babbling brooks, relaxing at this home will be effortless. LVP flooring in LL. Bonus loft with built-ins for a fabuous flex space. Just a quick walk to the 150 acre stocked lake. Resort amenities incl. 18 hole GOLF COURSE, mini golf, 24/7 SECURITY, tennis, BEACH, dog park, HIKING TRAILS, & lodge with RESTAURANT, bar, INDOOR POOL, & fitness center.

  21. 2022-05-19
    listed $255,000 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Welcome to "Harewood Cottage", located at the end of a peaceful cul-de-sac inside the gates of ALPINE LAKE RESORT. Surrounded by the woods, rock formations, & babbling brooks, relaxing at this home will be effortless. LVP flooring in LL. Bonus loft with built-ins for a fabuous flex space. Just a quick walk to the 150 acre stocked lake. Resort amenities incl. 18 hole GOLF COURSE, mini golf, 24/7 SECURITY, tennis, BEACH, dog park, HIKING TRAILS, & lodge with RESTAURANT, bar, INDOOR POOL, & fitness center.

  22. 2000-10-12
    soldstatus $10

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$982 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$782/yr (+$65/mo · 79.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,752
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$982
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,060
− Management
−$2,060
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable loss
−$6,292
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,510
After-tax cash flow
$561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Preston County Schools
NCES district ID
5401170
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,997
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7869
State rank
#39 of 55 in WV

Livability — Terra Alta

Score
61/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#17622

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,349

Population outlook (Preston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,786 people
By 2030
33,618 · -0.5%
By 2040
32,953 · -2.5%
By 2050
32,131 · -4.9%
By 2075
30,774 · -8.9%
By 2100
27,037 · -20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Preston

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.0) · D 20.5% · R 77.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.5pp · 2024: -57.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.0 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+55.8 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+26.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.70%
Current HPI
294.2344
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+17.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $299,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $315,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $270,500 NCWVREIN
  • 2022-05-19 Listed $255,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2000-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $10 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $982 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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